中汽协：我国汽车产销连续17年稳居全球第一

期货日报01-15

1月14日，中国汽车工业协会（下称中汽协）召开信息发布会。中汽协副秘书长陈士华在会上表示，“十四五”期间，汽车行业取得多方面突破，产销量连续3年保持3000万辆以上规模，营业收入突破10万亿元，出口跻身世界第一，电动化与智能化、网联化加速融合，形成产业领先优势。2025年，即“十四五”收官之年，汽车行业继续展现出强大的发展韧性和活力，多项指标再创新高。数据显示，2025年，汽车产销累计完成...

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years","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"81211":0.6,"601633":1.57,"01211":0.9,"002594":1.63,"HYDD.SI":0.6,"GWLLY":1.57,"02333":1.57,"BYDDY":1.63},"content_text":"1月14日，中国汽车工业协会（下称中汽协）召开信息发布会。中汽协副秘书长陈士华在会上表示，“十四五”期间，汽车行业取得多方面突破，产销量连续3年保持3000万辆以上规模，营业收入突破10万亿元，出口跻身世界第一，电动化与智能化、网联化加速融合，形成产业领先优势。2025年，即“十四五”收官之年，汽车行业继续展现出强大的发展韧性和活力，多项指标再创新高。数据显示，2025年，汽车产销累计完成3453.1万辆和3440万辆，同比分别增长10.4%和9.4%，产销量再创历史新高，产销规模连续3年保持在3000万辆以上，连续17年稳居全球第一。陈士华表示，2025年，“两新”政策加力扩围，实现平稳过渡与有序衔接，企业新品密集上市，终端需求持续释放，使得全年汽车产销实现超预期增长。具体来看，受益于政策拉动，内需进一步释放。2025年，国内汽车销量2730.2万辆，同比增长6.7%。其中，传统燃料汽车国内销量1342.7万辆，同比下降4%。出口方面，2025年，车企愈加重视海外市场开拓，中国品牌国际竞争力持续提升，带动我国汽车出口再上新台阶。数据显示，2025年全年汽车出口超700万辆，达到709.8万辆，同比增长21.1%。其中，新能源汽车出口261.5万辆，同比增长1倍；传统燃料汽车出口448.3万辆，同比下降2%。具体到企业层面，2025年，整车出口前十企业中，奇瑞出口量达134.4万辆，同比增长17.4%，占总出口量的18.9%。与2024年同期相比，比亚迪出口增速最为显著，出口达105.4万辆，同比增长1.4倍。新能源汽车的销量表现依然抢眼。2025年，在政策利好、供给丰富和基础设施持续改善等多重因素共同作用下，新能源汽车持续增长，产销量突破1600万辆，连续11年位居全球第一。数据显示，2025年，新能源汽车产销分别完成1662.6万辆和1649万辆，同比分别增长29%和28.2%，新能源汽车新车销量达到汽车新车总销量的47.9%，较2024年同期提高7个百分点。展望2026年，陈士华分析，影响汽车市场的利弊因素交织。从宏观政策上来看，中央经济工作会议明确2026年经济工作坚持“稳中求进、提质增效”，坚持“内需主导”，同时2026年是“十五五”开局之年，促消费依然是重点工作之一。“两新”政策持续优化实施，已实现平稳过渡与有序衔接，政策更加注重提质增效，八部门发布的汽车行业稳增长方案，将共同促进汽车行业平稳运行。从行业治理方面来看，在多方共同努力下，综合整治“内卷式”竞争成效显现，2026年将继续深入整治“内卷式”竞争，随着行业治理效能持续提升，将促进汽车行业高质量发展。同时，海外市场也为中国车企提供了广泛的开拓空间。谈及不利因素，陈士华表示，国际形势动荡和需求不足会给汽车市场带来一定影响，同时“两新”政策的边际效应会有所递减，对汽车市场的刺激作用将降低，新能源汽车购置税减半征收，也会在一定程度上影响汽车消费。在这样的背景下，中汽协预测2026年全年汽车总销量为3475万辆，同比增长1%，其中乘用车销量预计达到3025万辆，同比增长0.5%，商用车销量预计达到450万辆，同比增长4.7%。预计2026年新能源汽车销量有望达到1900万辆，同比增长15.2%，汽车出口预计达到740万辆，同比增长4.3%。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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