2026开启“自主AI”元年！美银预言赢家：亚马逊(AMZN.US)等五只股票将领涨

智通财经网01-09

在人工智能(AI)交易持续火热的背景下，华尔街已开始挖掘下一批“赢家”。美国银行(Bank of America)认为，AI交易的下一阶段将取决于自主智能体，而包括亚马逊五只股票可能会引领这一涨势。尽管有关人工智能产业被过度炒作的言论颇多，但美银认为“市场过热的阶段”仍未来临。该行在最新报告指出，过去两年，人工智能领域一直以聊天机器人和大型语言模型为核心，而2026 年将成为“自主型人工智能”...

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Bank of America predicts winners: Amazon (AMZN.US) and five other stocks will lead gains","themeId":"3a034896223f8a820b662f5b9238872f","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":1.97,"W":1.83,"USAW.SI":0.6,"EXPE":1.85},"content_text":"在人工智能(AI)交易持续火热的背景下，华尔街已开始挖掘下一批“赢家”。美国银行(Bank of  America)认为，AI交易的下一阶段将取决于自主智能体，而包括亚马逊五只股票可能会引领这一涨势。尽管有关人工智能产业被过度炒作的言论颇多，但美银认为“市场过热的阶段”仍未来临。该行在最新报告指出，过去两年，人工智能领域一直以聊天机器人和大型语言模型为核心，而2026  年将成为“自主型人工智能”的元年，即能够自主执行任务的软件将占据主导地位。据美银分析师Justin  Post称，人工智能行业的繁荣态势要到那些“最引人注目的AI独角兽”(即估值超过100亿美元的AI初创企业)上市之后才会达到顶峰。这些企业包括  OpenAI、Anthropic和xAI等，外界猜测它们可能在2026年进行首次公开募股。而在此之前，投资机会在于那些能够运用具备购物、预订旅行服务以及执行其他操作功能的代理系统的公司。美银的首选为亚马逊、美国的行动技术公司AppLovin、在线家居商店Wayfair、智游网集团(Expedia  Group)和在线视频游戏平台Roblox，并认为它们是AI代理技术革命的最大受益者。亚马逊脱颖而出在大型科技股中，亚马逊是美银在2026年第一季度的首选股，并着重介绍了该公司的潜在优势。Post看好亚马逊云服务(AWS)的持续加速增长，以及零售业务的效率提升。华尔街的预测显示，AWS的年增长率将达到  21%。但Post认为，随着亚马逊在2026年拥有更多的云服务能力和更完善的基础设施，这一数字可能会被超越。与此同时，亚马逊在自研人工智能芯片Trainium方面也取得了进展，其最新的Trainium3产品提高了效率和计算能力。Post表示，该芯片的未来版本将与英伟达的技术集成，这可能会使AWS成为用于人工智能工作负载的最低成本供应商。在零售业务方面，亚马逊通过广告业务的增长、更高效的库存管理、机器人技术的应用以及减少员工数量等方式来推动利润率的增长。Post写道，凭借超过100万台的机器人以及更高效的物流中心，亚马逊的零售利润率预计将从2025年的6.1%增长到2027年的8.3%。Post强调，亚马逊的零售业务和云业务都使该公司具备成为企业电子商务默认基础设施的能力。他还指出，由于其Prime服务，亚马逊在美国电子商务市场的份额超过40%。他还补充称，亚马逊的人工智能购物助手Rufus目前能够提供购物推荐和价格跟踪服务，未来有可能升级以提供“全面的自动化能力”。他还提到，亚马逊和OpenAI在2026年可能会达成一项自动化购物协议，Post认为该协议很可能会包含广告收入分成条款。其他潜在赢家其他公司方面，Post指出，Wayfair在家具购物领域取得了长足进步，成为谷歌“智能结账”功能的早期合作伙伴。该公司还开发了一款自主人工智能助手来处理常见咨询。此外，旅游业将成为2026年智能代理人工智能的“关键战场”，因为它涉及多步骤规划，而各参与者都在竞相实现自动化。Post写道，智游网正成功地从传统的预订网站转型为新型人工智能旅行代理的基础设施提供商。而AppLovin在移动游戏行业的地位以及向电子商务领域的扩张将使其免受这些行业逆风的影响。Post指出，移动游戏中的广告备受关注，因此对消费者更具说服力。AppLovin的Axon产品利用人工智能将广告精准投放给潜在买家，目前正受到在线商家的广泛采用。最后，Roblox也在开发一项广告计划，虽然尚处于早期阶段，但凭借其庞大且高度活跃的约1.5亿日活跃用户群体，该计划有望将Roblox打造成为“重要的广告目的地”。除了广告之外，Roblox的Studio  Assistant等智能AI工具可以显著提高开发者发布新游戏的速度，从而成为关键的增长驱动力。本文转载自“财联社”，作者：黄君芝；智通财经编辑：冯秋怡。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2602634574","isCrawlerRequest":true}