马斯克 | 人形机器人的开发速度是三个“指数级增长”相乘

世界人形机器人...01-10

据RNEA获悉，近日，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克8日出现在企业家彼得·戴曼迪斯的播客节目，在长达3个小时的访谈中，马斯克对人工智能的前景表示出非常的乐观。配图 | 马斯克他认为，科技领域的“宇宙大爆炸”若隐若现，AI这辆科技巨轮带来的惊涛骇浪还没有完全展现出来。2026年，世界将不只是AI，而是在AI的基础上有望实现AGI（通用人工智能）。在与拥有哈佛医学院医学博士学位的主持人讨论未来医疗保健的...

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\"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0820561818.USD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金Cl AM DIS","LU2471134952.CNY":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (CNYHDG) INC","LU1551013342.USD":"Allianz Income and Growth Cl AMg2 DIS USD","BK4598":"佩洛西持仓","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","LU2471134879.HKD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU2471134523.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"Musk | The development speed of humanoid robots is multiplied by three \"exponential increases\"","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"UFO":0.6,"TSLA":1.94,"TSYW.SI":0.6},"content_text":"据RNEA获悉，近日，特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克8日出现在企业家彼得·戴曼迪斯的播客节目，在长达3个小时的访谈中，马斯克对人工智能的前景表示出非常的乐观。配图 | 马斯克他认为，科技领域的“宇宙大爆炸”若隐若现，AI这辆科技巨轮带来的惊涛骇浪还没有完全展现出来。2026年，世界将不只是AI，而是在AI的基础上有望实现AGI（通用人工智能）。在与拥有哈佛医学院医学博士学位的主持人讨论未来医疗保健的愿景时，马斯克表示，机器人将在三年内取代外科医生，面对主持人对这句话发出的疑问：“你的意思是别去读医学院？”马斯克回答：“是的，毫无意义。”马斯克认为：“要成为优秀的医生需要极长时间，而医学知识不断更新，人类难以全面跟进。”他补充道，特斯拉的人形机器人“擎天柱”将在三年内超越最顶尖的外科医生，“很可能有数量超过地球上外科医生总数的‘擎天柱’们能完成卓越的外科手术。”对这样的愿景，马斯克解释道：“要理解人形机器人开发的速度，必须将三个‘指数级增长’相乘：人工智能软件能力的指数级增长、人工智能芯片性能的指数级增长以及电气与机械精密程度的指数级增长。”他补充说：“还有一个因素：‘擎天柱’创造‘擎天柱’的递归效应。这是一种递归且可放大的‘三重指数级增长’，所有经验均可共享。”马斯克表示，一旦“擎天柱”商业化，“每个人将获得比现任总统更好的医疗服务。”他认为：“这适用于任何教育形式。总有一天，（医学院）会变成一项昂贵的爱好。”马斯克以LASIK手术为例，他说：“比如，像LASIK这样高度自动化的案例，机器人就能完成激光眼科手术。你会愿意让眼科医生手持激光吗？”他说：“哪怕激光笔稍有颤动……我不愿让世界上最技艺娴熟、手稳如磐的眼科医生亲手将激光射入我的眼睛。”与此同时，马斯克的人工智能公司xAI在8日的投资者电话会议上透露，其目标是构建能够为特斯拉的“擎天柱”等人形机器人提供动力的人工智能。马斯克此前曾建议“擎天柱”的价格范围为2万至3万美元，目前，该产品尚未实现大规模生产。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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