苹果(AAPL.US)重返全球智能手机第一！Wedbush继续看多：四大利好因素支撑，今年有望涨35%

智通财经01-12

智通财经APP获悉，Wedbush维持对苹果(AAPL.US)的“跑赢大盘”评级和350美元的目标价，较上周五收盘价水平约35%的涨幅，同时强调了该股要在2026年达到目标价需要关注的四个关键事项。与此同时，根据 Counterpoint Research 的市场监测报告的初步估计，苹果在 2025 年引领全球智能手机市场，市场份额达到 20%，出货量同比增长 10%，在前五大品牌中位居榜首。三星...

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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1391853.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，Wedbush维持对苹果(AAPL.US)的“跑赢大盘”评级和350美元的目标价，较上周五收盘价水平约35%的涨幅，同时强调了该股要在2026年达到目标价需要关注的四个关键事项。与此同时，根据 Counterpoint Research 的市场监测报告的初步估计，苹果在 2025 年引领全球智能手机市场，市场份额达到 20%，出货量同比增长 10%，在前五大品牌中位居榜首。三星...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1391853.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1935042215.USD","symbol_name":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET DIVERSIFIED INCOME  \"AA\" (USD) INC 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Wedbush continues to be bullish: supported by four major positive factors, it is expected to rise 35% this year","themeId":"c00a8896d6763d31a3e3c4ec9748985e","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"MACW.SI":0.6,"AAPL":1.98},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，Wedbush维持对苹果(AAPL.US)的“跑赢大盘”评级和350美元的目标价，较上周五收盘价水平约35%的涨幅，同时强调了该股要在2026年达到目标价需要关注的四个关键事项。与此同时，根据 Counterpoint Research 的市场监测报告的初步估计，苹果在 2025 年引领全球智能手机市场，市场份额达到 20%，出货量同比增长 10%，在前五大品牌中位居榜首。三星以19%的市场份额和5%的同比增长率位居2025年第二位。小米以13%的市场份额保持第三位，而Vivo位居第四，同比增长 3%。这是苹果时隔多年来首次反超三星，重夺全球最大智能手机制造商的桂冠。根据Counterpoint的数据，苹果上一次位居全球智能手机销量榜首还要追溯到2011年。苹果在第四季度智能手机出货量方面也领先，占全球出货量的四分之一，创历史新高，其次是三星，占比 17%。Counterpoint Research 表示，2025 年全球智能手机出货量连续第二年增长，同比增长 2%，这主要得益于高端需求的增长和主要新兴市场势头的改善。由Dan Ives领导的Wedbush分析师团队称：“对于苹果和库克来说，今年是意义非凡的一年，他们将最终带领苹果入人工智能革命时代。今年以来，苹果股价一直低迷，投资者担心今年又将是苹果‘观望’的一年——他们迟迟无法将这场已经开始的第四次工业革命变现。我们认为，华尔街低估了2026年苹果的发展潜力，因为我们认为，库克及其团队将最终全力推进其人工智能战略路线图，”丹·艾夫斯领导的分析师团队表示。”分析师补充说，虽然苹果公司今年面临诸多变数，但他们提出了该公司在 2026 年需要执行的四个战略关键点，这些关键点可能会使每股股价增加约 100 美元。“对于苹果来说，今年是‘证明自己’的一年，我们认为从目前的水平来看，苹果还有很大的上涨空间，因为苹果仍然是 IVES AI 30的核心股票，也是我们 2026 年最喜欢的科技股之一。”与谷歌Gemini的合作伙伴关系分析师认为，Alphabet(GOOGL.US)旗下的谷歌Gemini 将成为苹果人工智能战略的独家合作伙伴，而谷歌赢得对美国司法部的诉讼，无疑为这一目标铺平了道路。分析师补充道，随着消费者人工智能革命在Apple Park的推进，华尔街正翘首以盼双方在人工智能领域达成正式的旗舰合作。按时推出全新升级的人工智能Siri分析师表示，开发者和消费者都在耐心等待全新改进版Siri在三月/四月期间发布。分析师指出，这款个人助理将是苹果公司针对OpenAI的ChatGPT和Perplexity等机器学习模型推出的回应产品。分析师预计，苹果将于今年夏季面向其消费者用户推出一项人工智能驱动的订阅服务。iPhone 17 销量大获成功，并将接力棒交给iPhone 18根据 Counterpoint Research 的市场监测报告的初步估计，苹果将在 2025 年引领全球智能手机市场，市场份额达到 20%，出货量同比增长 10%，在前五大品牌中位居榜首。高级分析师Varun Mishra在评论苹果公司业绩时表示：“苹果公司2025年的增长得益于其在新兴市场和中型市场不断扩大的市场份额和日益增长的需求，以及更强大的产品组合。iPhone 17系列在成功发布后，于第四季度获得了显著的市场认可，而iPhone 16在日本、印度和东南亚市场也继续保持着卓越的销售业绩。新冠疫情期间的升级换代周期已达到拐点，数百万用户需要更换新机，这进一步增强了苹果的双增长势头。”Ives和他的团队认为，苹果公司2026年的iPhone销量有望超过华尔街目前的预期。分析师们表示：“我们看到中国市场表现尤为强劲，这股增长势头应该会持续下去，为苹果在iPhone 17周期末期以及今年9月iPhone 18发布之际带来持续的增长动力。”分析师认为，平均售价(ASP)上涨，以及最终推出可折叠手机(很可能在9月份的iPhone 18产品周期内推出)，将是关键因素。分析师指出，由于全球生产成本上升，预计iPhone 18 Pro和Pro Max机型的平均售价将上涨约100美元，这已成为产品毛利率方面令人担忧的问题。Counterpoint研究总监Tarun Pathak在评论市场前景时表示：“由于DRAM/NAND闪存短缺和零部件成本上涨，全球智能手机市场预计将在2026年放缓，因为芯片制造商将优先发展人工智能数据中心而非智能手机。智能手机价格上涨的趋势已经开始显现。在此背景下，我们将2026年的出货量预期下调了3%。尽管供应短缺会对出货量造成压力，但苹果和三星凭借更强大的供应链能力和高端市场定位，可能会保持韧性，而专注于低价位领域的OEM厂商将面临更大的压力。”鉴于外界猜测，库克宣布将继续担任首席执行官Ives及其团队表示：“关于首席执行官库克将在未来一年内离职的传言越来越多。我们不同意这种说法，并认为库克至少会担任苹果首席执行官到2027年底，因为这段时期对于苹果来说至关重要，它将制定并执行其更广泛的人工智能革命战略。”分析师指出，苹果终于开始采取进攻策略，将更多人工智能人才引入公司生态系统，以进一步增强苹果智能的能力，其中包括从外部聘请著名人工智能研究员 Amar Subramanya。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"2","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2602510936","isCrawlerRequest":true}