中银国际：供需格局有望重塑固态电池加速落地

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中银国际发布研报称，预计2026年全球新能源汽车销量保持较高景气度，销量有望创历史新高，带动产业链需求高增长。“反内卷”共识下叠加需求高增，材料环节盈利有望迎来量利齐升。以固态电池为代表的新技术产业化落地加速，有望带动产业链技术升级，维持行业强于大市评级。中银国际主要观点如下：新能源汽车预计2026年全球新能源汽车需求将保持较高增长：2025年1-9月全球新能源汽车销量基本呈现稳步上升态势，渗透率...

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batteries","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"300014":1.64,"300035":1.64,"300037":1.64,"300073":1.64,"300207":1.64,"300568":1.64,"300750":1.67,"300769":1.62,"300919":1.62,"603659":1.64,"603799":1.64,"603876":1.64,"688005":1.64,"688388":1.64,"688567":1.62,"688733":1.64,"688778":1.64,"002850":1.64,"002340":1.64,"001301":1.64,"02579":1.62,"03750":1.67,"002709":1.64,"001283":1.64,"002812":1.62,"002407":1.64},"content_text":"中银国际发布研报称，预计2026年全球新能源汽车销量保持较高景气度，销量有望创历史新高，带动产业链需求高增长。“反内卷”共识下叠加需求高增，材料环节盈利有望迎来量利齐升。以固态电池为代表的新技术产业化落地加速，有望带动产业链技术升级，维持行业强于大市评级。中银国际主要观点如下：新能源汽车预计2026年全球新能源汽车需求将保持较高增长：2025年1-9月全球新能源汽车销量基本呈现稳步上升态势，渗透率持续提升，市场空间不断扩大。2026年随着需求复苏、新车型持续推出、智能化、网联化以及快充等新技术带来的产品力提升，我们预计销量仍将保持增长，国内新能源汽车销量有望再创新高。碳中和背景下全球汽车电动化大趋势不改，海外新能源汽车销量持续增长。预计2026年全球新能源汽车销量有望达到约2,600万辆，同比增长约15%。动力电池景气度持续上行受益于全球新能源汽车高景气增长，动力电池装机量继续保持高速增长。我们预计2026年国内的动力电池装机量同比保持较高增速，行业成长性仍在。铁锂电池占比进一步提升，预计2026年其装机份额继续保持较高水平。2025年10月以来，以六氟磷酸锂为代表的锂电原材料均出现不同程度的上涨，对电池企业的成本管控能力提出更高要求。中游材料“反内卷”成为共识，盈利修复可期在“动储双轮”驱动下需求高增叠加材料端扩产谨慎，供需错配首先在景气度最高的六氟磷酸锂环节体现，价格修复有望带动龙头企业量利齐升，建议关注铁锂正极、隔膜、负极、铜箔等供需趋紧环节的龙头企业。固态电池产业化加速，有望带动产业链升级固态电池进入中试与小批量装车验证窗口期，设备有望率先受益，材料高价值量环节具备高弹性，建议关注可率先实现稳定供货、工艺相对成熟且具备明确降本路径的厂商以及与产业链龙头合作较早的企业。投资建议新能源汽车产业链保持较高景气度，2026年销量有望再创新高。电芯环节景气度持续上行，竞争格局较优，盈利具备较强韧性;材料环节“反内卷”成为共识，在“动储双轮”驱动下需求高增或导致供需错配，价格与加工费修复带动龙头企业量利齐升，建议关注铁锂正极、隔膜、负极、铜箔等供需趋紧环节的龙头企业。新技术方面，固态电池进入中试与小批量装车验证窗口期，设备有望率先受益，材料高价值量环节具备高弹性，建议关注可率先实现稳定供货、工艺相对成熟且具备明确降本路径的厂商以及与产业链龙头协同合作较早的企业。推荐宁德时代、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、豪鹏科技、当升科技、容百科技、厦钨新能、华友钴业、璞泰来、尚太科技、中科电气、星源材质、天赐材料、新宙邦、多氟多、嘉元科技、鼎胜新材、壹石通、科达利、格林美等，建议关注孚能科技、德方纳米、恩捷股份、五矿新能、中伟股份、贝特瑞、信德新材、中一科技、振华新材等。评级面临的主要风险新能源汽车产业政策不达预期;新能源汽车产品力不达预期;产业链需求不达预期;产业链价格竞争超预期;国际贸易摩擦风险;技术迭代风险。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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中银国际：供需格局有望重塑 固态电池加速落地

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中银国际：供需格局有望重塑固态电池加速落地