CES 2026见证AI生态变局，中国厂商跻身全球核心阵营

21世纪经济报道01-07

21世纪经济报道记者孔海丽、骆轶琪拉斯维加斯、广州报道全球科技盛会2026年国际消费电子展（CES 2026）于当地时间1月6日开幕，芯片巨头掌门人先后登场，他们正指向AI时代一个更为宏大的发展目标：数百倍的算力增长需求和背后从云到端全面的AI应用拓展空间。虽然当前，AI大模型的技术路线还没有完全收敛，基于此开展的AI应用仍处在探索阶段，但正呈现百花齐放的态势：物理AI在今年的发展进程尤其被...

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camp","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"NVD":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"AMD":1.87,"SNVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS.UK":0.6,"NVD2.UK":0.6,"NVD3.UK":0.6,"3NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDA":1.91,"NVIW.SI":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"2NVD.UK":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"NVDU":0.6},"content_text":"21世纪经济报道记者 孔海丽、骆轶琪 拉斯维加斯、广州报道全球科技盛会2026年国际消费电子展（CES 2026）于当地时间1月6日开幕，芯片巨头掌门人先后登场，他们正指向AI时代一个更为宏大的发展目标：数百倍的算力增长需求和背后从云到端全面的AI应用拓展空间。虽然当前，AI大模型的技术路线还没有完全收敛，基于此开展的AI应用仍处在探索阶段，但正呈现百花齐放的态势：物理AI在今年的发展进程尤其被重视，原生AI硬件以更丰富的形态在探索市场。而中国厂商正在CES上扮演越来越重要的角色。无论是AI眼镜、各形态机器人，中国厂商的积极参展，也在海外引发高度关注，甚至让现场展台“水泄不通”。例如，宇树科技把“传统艺能”拳击赛带到现场，21世纪经济报道记者发现，观赛人员围了里三层外三层，纷纷高举手机拍摄G1机器人灵活的动作表现。一众中国原生AI硬件厂商备受关注的背后，是中国企业全球角色的进阶：凭借供应链与研发能力的长期沉淀，中国已不再局限于传统的“世界工厂”，而是升级为全球科技创新的关键力量。（2026年国际消费电子展现场 本报记者 孔海丽/摄）竞速底层算力AI大模型加速发展背后，是底层算力基础设施的快速演进支撑。在CES现场，芯片巨头掌门人们都强调了算力的飞速增长态势，以及由此引发的应用新机会。英伟达创始人兼CEO黄仁勋指出，物理AI的“ChatGPT时刻”已然到来。机器开始具备理解真实世界、推理并付诸行动的能力。无人驾驶出租车将是最早受益的应用之一。他在现场发布NVIDIA Alpamayo系列开源AI模型、仿真工具及数据集，旨在推动安全可靠的推理型辅助驾驶汽车开发。面对AI计算量每年10倍的暴增，黄仁勋还推出新一代架构Rubin。这不仅是一颗芯片，而是包含Vera CPU、Rubin GPU、NVLink-6等六大核心组件的全栈方案。AMD董事长兼首席执行官苏姿丰（Lisa Su）在演讲时指出，算力正呈现从Zetta到Yotta Scale compute（尧字节级浮点运算）时代。其中，无论数据中心、个人计算设备还是边缘和物理AI等领域，将充分释放AI潜能。她同时指出，AI大模型的快速发展，让训练的浮点运算算力每年增长4倍，推理Tokens消耗数量在过去两年增长了100倍。为了应对Yotta规模阶段的基础设施需求，AMD从多个层面推出产品进行应对，涵盖计算芯片、开放式机架架构、整体解决方案层面。苏姿丰还笑言，Open AI联合创始人Greg Brockman每次碰到她，都提到“需要更多算力资源”。不止于大型终端设备或云端计算需求，实际上更多元的端侧AI其发展前景也不容小觑。在2026联想Tech World创新科技大会上，高通公司总裁兼CEO安蒙演讲时强调了智能可穿戴设备在技术演进下正被激发的巨大空间。他指出，下一代个人AI设备将在用户允许的情况下，依托端侧AI、情境感知能力和用户数据，实现对用户环境与意图的实时理解，融合物理世界和数字世界。“我们认为，智能可穿戴设备是一种全新的移动终端品类，它将和你的手机并存。”安蒙指出，手机市场将继续发展，而全新的个人AI设备将带来巨大市场机遇。“我们预计未来几年内，这一品类规模就有望达到1亿台，这是一个非常可观的数字。”作为一种新型轻量化AI设备，其背后显然需要兼顾算力与能效等多维度能力。安蒙指出，骁龙芯片具备在这些小型可穿戴设备上运行数十亿参数模型的能力。“我认为混合AI与边缘AI的未来意义重大。我想做一个预测：边缘数据的价值至关重要，因为它能提供专属于用户的实时情境信息。我相信，谁能掌握边缘数据并将其转化为为用户提供高度相关服务的能力，谁将成为AI竞赛的赢家。”安蒙如此总结道。物理AI确定性基于坚实的底层基础设施，CES上今年展示的AI原生产品开始有了更多可看性，其中，“物理AI”的成熟度被众多厂商所强调和关注。中国厂商展示的一系列机器人成为全场“显眼包”。21世纪经济报道记者在现场观察发现，相比于去年不少机器人多是展示简单的打招呼等动作，今年机器人展示的能力明显丰富了起来。有观众感慨，原本以为宇树科技展示的机器人宣传视频是手动加速后的结果，亦或是选取了一版机器人表现好的视频版本，没想到在现场发现，确实动作展示很流利。当然宇树科技旗下机器人的表现不仅在于硬件层面能力持续成熟，也有赖于预编程能力的融入。众擎机器人首次展出了其全尺寸通用人形机器人T800，旗下明星产品PM01在现场展示了多个高难度动作。（众擎机器人现场展示  图源：公司官网）众擎机器人相关负责人对21世纪经济报道记者分析道，今年机器人本体能力日益成熟，开始走向量产，此外，有越来越多二次开发的解决方案提供商进入行业，在帮助机器人更好实现能力落地。“场景化和角色化是接下来的重点。”该名人士指出，今年机器人市场最大的进展就是不再仅限于实验室级别产品，而是开始逐渐走入人们生活。当然这是分阶段的，目前多在文娱场景，预计2026年底有望走入家庭，从简单的陪伴、教学等任务做起。作为外骨骼机器人的代表，傲鲨智能相关负责人告诉21世纪经济报道记者，公司自2024年开始参展CES，但彼时更多是以“试水”的心态前来，了解美国当地对外骨骼机器人产品的接受程度，但随后两年，不仅公司在现场的展台面积成倍扩大，现场排队体验人员热情也很高涨，不惜排队1-2小时体验产品。“在CES现场，我们能接触到美国本土和欧洲、南美等不同区域市场的人员，很多都前来询问怎么购买，这些市场的消费决策周期比国内短很多。”该名负责人指出，尤其近两年来，全球人口面临老龄化挑战，欧美等市场人力成本增加，借力外骨骼机器人辅助人行动，正激发更大价值。作为这些技术的核心供应商之一，Arm方面分析指出，人形机器人正逐步走出概念阶段，迈向商业化落地。例如Agility Robotics、智元AGIBOT和银河通用等公司已在运动控制、平衡能力和操作精度方面取得实质性进展，实现数千台产品的量产与商业场景部署。它们在CES 2026的亮相，进一步清晰展现了人形机器人的应用场景落地路径，尤其是在制造业、零售业及仓储物流三大领域的落地潜力。在现场，基于Arm计算平台运行的NVIDIA Jetson Thor等平台，也展示了仿真系统如何演进为真正可部署的解决方案。今年CES期间，高通公司推出了下一代机器人完整技术栈架构，集成硬件、软件和复合AI，还发布了最新高性能机器人处理器——高通跃龙™ IQ10系列，面向工业级自主移动机器人（AMR）和先进的全尺寸人形机器人打造。高通技术公司执行副总裁兼汽车、工业及嵌入式物联网与机器人事业群总经理Nakul Duggal在一场论坛发言中分析，这是源于公司方面认为，其已经具备规模化的条件。他回顾指出，过去十年，行业在物理AI相关领域——包括智能驾驶和各类自动化系统——持续投入，核心目标始终是解决能够在真实世界中产生实际影响的问题。在这一过程中，产业逐渐达成共识：需要将硬件、传感器以及环境感知等能力整合进同一个可规模化的体系中。在他看来，机器人正在将物理AI推向“下一个拐点”，在自动化发展的“坐标轴”上，人们正在不断突破原有的想象边界。这源于过去二十年行业在机器人领域持续积累的结果。在基础能力层面，无论是运动控制，还是环境感知，已有成熟的方案。Nakul还提出一个重要观察：物理AI的发展速度，目前可能被低估了。在他看来，物理AI具备高度“民主化”（普及化）的潜力——过去十多年在多个产业中积累的技术创新，正在加速不同领域之间的融合，为物理AI在更多场景中的应用创造条件。AI生态大比拼中国厂商正逐渐成为CES上的重要力量，不仅在于其展出的产品，也在于背后从大模型到硬件、供应链等多维度的能力沉淀所支撑。傲鲨智能相关负责人对21世纪经济报道记者指出，有赖于中国本土供应链的能力积累，正推动中国机器人产业迎来发展红利期。“在底层核心的电机、驱动器、传感器方面，中国供应链有很强的降本能力。这带动我们迭代速度大约是半年到一年一代，但欧洲公司的产品大多是2-3年一次迭代。相比之下，我们的量产周期大约1年左右，欧洲量产可能需要3~5年。”不止供应链，研发能力的积累同样重要，傲鲨智能相关负责人指出，公司目前有80%研发人员，主要在中国市场推进研发生产，而在海外则协同本土团队，根据当地的法规、文化和需求差异，推进本地化服务。这不仅是智能机器人行业正面临的技术底气，同样适用于智能扫地机器人、AI眼镜等多个领域。“中国市场产业链的效率远远高于其他国家。”一名硬件产业链创始人对21世纪经济报道记者感慨，“供应链的高效，让我们能快速迭代产品。可能上一代产品还不够好，但市场会逼着你以‘月’为单位持续进化。”该创始人续称，这种快速迭代能力，使中国公司能在短时间内实现技术突破和成本优化。国内一家扫地机器人公司负责人也告诉21世纪经济报道记者：“现在的机器人出海不再是当年简单制造、卷价格的逻辑，而是我们带着更好的技术、更好的方案走出去，这是‘中国制造’和‘中国创造’的区别。”CES 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