中信证券裘翔：A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势

东方财富网01-05

中信证券首席A股策略师裘翔认为，2026年A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势。　　他分析，中美格局决定了行情节奏，行情可能将被中美签署贸易协议和美国中期选举分为三段：第一阶段从当前到中美贸易协议落地前，市场上涨斜率预计放缓；第二阶段是协议落地到美国中期选举结束，A股有望在稳定的外部环境下迎来持续上涨；第三阶段是美国中期选举结束后，外部扰动的不确定性可能会急剧提高，投资者需要把视野重心转回国内。　　...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2601735270?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-01-05 01:31","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2601735270","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"中信证券裘翔：A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势","media":"东方财富网","content":"<div>\n<p>中信证券首席A股策略师裘翔认为，2026年A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势。　　他分析，中美格局决定了行情节奏，行情可能将被中美签署贸易协议和美国中期选举分为三段：第一阶段从当前到中美贸易协议落地前，市场上涨斜率预计放缓；第二阶段是协议落地到美国中期选举结束，A股有望在稳定的外部环境下迎来持续上涨；第三阶段是美国中期选举结束后，外部扰动的不确定性可能会急剧提高，投资者需要把视野重心转回国内。　　...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://stock.eastmoney.com/news/11791,202601053608042344.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"east_money_stock","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>中信证券裘翔：A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n中信证券裘翔：A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-05 01:31 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://stock.eastmoney.com/news/11791,202601053608042344.html><strong>东方财富网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>中信证券首席A股策略师裘翔认为，2026年A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势。　　他分析，中美格局决定了行情节奏，行情可能将被中美签署贸易协议和美国中期选举分为三段：第一阶段从当前到中美贸易协议落地前，市场上涨斜率预计放缓；第二阶段是协议落地到美国中期选举结束，A股有望在稳定的外部环境下迎来持续上涨；第三阶段是美国中期选举结束后，外部扰动的不确定性可能会急剧提高，投资者需要把视野重心转回国内。　　...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://stock.eastmoney.com/news/11791,202601053608042344.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK0183","symbol_name":"MSCI概念","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://stock.eastmoney.com/news/11791,202601053608042344.html","article_id":"2601735270","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2601735270","pubTimestamp":1767547871,"columns":[{"name":"A股","id":33,"label_key":"policyRegulatory"}],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"east_money_stock","name":"东方财富网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"中信证券裘翔：A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"eastmoney.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"159982":"中证500","399300":"沪深300","600030":"中信证券","BK0183":"MSCI概念","BK0188":"融资融券","BK0012":"证金概念","LU1794554557.SGD":"Allianz All China Equity AT Acc H2-SGD","BK1564":"中资券商股","LU1997245094.SGD":"安联神州A股基金AT Acc SGD","BK0028":"国家队","BK0276":"资本市场","LU1064131003.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - CHINA A EQUITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2495084118.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA A-SHARES \"ATH\" (USDHDG) ACC","LU1997244956.HKD":"ALLIANZ CHINA A-SHARES \"AT\" (HKD) ACC A","06030":"中信证券","BK1516":"腾讯概念","LU0405327494.USD":"ALLSPRING CHINA A FOCUS \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2148510915.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - CHINA A EQUITIES \"R\" (USD) ACC","BK1147":"投资银行业与经纪业","BK0196":"行业龙头","LU1655091616.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - China A-Share Opportunities A (acc) SGD","LU2289578879.USD":"ALLIANZ CHINA A OPPORTUNITIES \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU1328615791.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ALL CHINA EQUITIES \"I\" (USD) ACC","BK1521":"挪威政府全球养老基金持仓","LU1064130708.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - CHINA A EQUITIES \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU1997245177.USD":"安联神洲A股基金","LU1720050803.USD":"安联全方位中国股票基金","LU0405327148.USD":"ALLSPRING CHINA A FOCUS \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1255011170.USD":"JPM CHINA A-SHARE OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC"},"translate_title":"CITIC Securities Qiu Xiang: The profit growth rate of A-share companies will show a trend of first low and then high","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"159982":1.5,"399300":1.5,"600030":1.5,"06030":1.5},"content_text":"中信证券首席A股策略师裘翔认为，2026年A股公司盈利增速将呈现前低后高态势。　　他分析，中美格局决定了行情节奏，行情可能将被中美签署贸易协议和美国中期选举分为三段：第一阶段从当前到中美贸易协议落地前，市场上涨斜率预计放缓；第二阶段是协议落地到美国中期选举结束，A股有望在稳定的外部环境下迎来持续上涨；第三阶段是美国中期选举结束后，外部扰动的不确定性可能会急剧提高，投资者需要把视野重心转回国内。　　裘翔认为，从主题投资机会和板块配置来看，四大线索值得重视：一是制造业争夺全球定价权，资源、传统制造产业升级，把份额优势转化为定价权和利润率的持续抬升，可关注的重点大类行业包括有色、化工和新能源；二是中企出海与全球化，大幅打开了市值天花板和利润增长空间，可重点关注大类行业包括机械、创新药、电力设备、军工；三是科技行情延续，AI（人工智能）进一步拓展商用版图，延续科技趋势并放大中企相对竞争优势，相关重点大类行业包括：半导体、算力、端侧硬件、AI应用；四是关注内需的超预期修复机会，内需敞口品种景气度虽然一般，但也潜藏着较大的修复空间和估值弹性。（文章来源：证券时报）","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2601735270","isCrawlerRequest":true}