智能手机的尽头，可能是AI眼镜？

财经早餐01-07

近日，有媒体报道称“字节跳动旗下豆包AI眼镜即将进入出货阶段。总规划数量约10万台，主要面向豆包资深用户，并不打算公开对外销售。”对此，字节方面在接受新京报记者求证时候回应称，传闻不实，目前没有明确销售计划。尽管如此，随着Meta、小米等国内外多家巨头企业接连推出AI眼镜、智能眼镜产品，市场对这个赛道的关注度正在全面提升。字节作为国内AI领域的“重量级玩家”，也很可能正在这方面有所布局和研发，还需...

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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107070111a4a4e554&s=b><strong>财经早餐</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>近日，有媒体报道称“字节跳动旗下豆包AI眼镜即将进入出货阶段。总规划数量约10万台，主要面向豆包资深用户，并不打算公开对外销售。”对此，字节方面在接受新京报记者求证时候回应称，传闻不实，目前没有明确销售计划。尽管如此，随着Meta、小米等国内外多家巨头企业接连推出AI眼镜、智能眼镜产品，市场对这个赛道的关注度正在全面提升。字节作为国内AI领域的“重量级玩家”，也很可能正在这方面有所布局和研发，还需...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20260107070111a4a4e554&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU2362541513.USD","symbol_name":"WELLINGTON NEXT GENERATION GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) 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glasses?","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"META":1.91,"01810":0.9,"GOOG":0.9},"content_text":"近日，有媒体报道称“字节跳动旗下豆包AI眼镜即将进入出货阶段。总规划数量约10万台，主要面向豆包资深用户，并不打算公开对外销售。”对此，字节方面在接受新京报记者求证时候回应称，传闻不实，目前没有明确销售计划。尽管如此，随着Meta、小米等国内外多家巨头企业接连推出AI眼镜、智能眼镜产品，市场对这个赛道的关注度正在全面提升。字节作为国内AI领域的“重量级玩家”，也很可能正在这方面有所布局和研发，还需等待后续信息的公布。当前一个更宏大的争论焦点在于：在人工智能大崛起、大爆发的时代，AI眼镜会否代替智能手机，成为下一代个人移动硬件的“主力军”，成为人们日常使用AI的核心入口？AI眼镜的崛起AI眼镜的优势在于，可以让人以第一人称视角进行各类操作，如阅读短信以及录制视频，让用户体验沉浸式的感受。比如，Meta、小米等公司推出的轻薄、外观更接近普通眼镜的智能眼镜，能让佩戴者像其他眼镜佩戴者一样，完全沉浸在数字世界中。这将使人们能够体验生日派对或观看新年庆祝活动等重要时刻，并保存视频，留作纪念，或者直接发布到社交媒体上。相对需要手持手机进行任何操作，解放双手成为AI眼镜的重要优势。比如Meta和Ray-Ban眼镜公司联合推出的第二代Wayfarer智能眼镜，以仅仅50克的重量，集成了1200万像素超广角摄像头、开放式扬声器、五个麦克风、32GB内置存储空间、蓝牙和Wi-Fi连接功能，以及可续航长达4小时的电池。这意味着人们可以长期佩戴这款重量和大小接近普通眼镜的智能产品，不会感到什么不适。在AI时代，依托人工智能技术的飞速发展，各类AI应用被集成到智能眼镜中，诞生了AI眼镜这一火热赛道。全新的人工智能应用让用户可以实时获取信息并与世界互动，例如，利用内置摄像头的第一人称视角，通过询问AI大模型，来轻松识别看见的任何物体。用户可以像使用智能手机搜索引擎一样，随时随地提问，而省去了双手操作手机的步骤。也可以如Meta所发布Ray-Ban Display AI眼镜那般，基于Meta生态在社交场景打造不同体验。诸如此类基于AR入口和AI的应用，已经让这种智能穿戴设备有了成为日常生活实用工具的潜力。花旗最近的一份研报预测，到2030年，智能眼镜的出货量将以105%的复合年增长率（CAGR）增长，达到1.12亿副，而市场收入的复合年增长率可能达到112%，达到400亿美元。市场的主要参与者包括美国的Meta、谷歌和苹果。此外，大型语言模型供应商也可能会发挥重要作用。此外，基于硬件性能，花旗研报认为AI眼镜的发展路径可能是从较单一功能的音频眼镜或摄像头眼镜开始，随后是配备镜片内显示屏的更多元功能的眼镜。最终，AI眼镜很可能成为配备更多传感器的全功能设备，例如内置眼动追踪和手势识别功能，并且显示屏可能会升级到高清分辨率，从而应用更多高复杂度的AI应用。整个发展过程中，光学组件零部件的占比会逐步提高。现在的问题是，AI眼镜到底会否彻底代替智能手机呢？智能手机的危机？相对于智能手机，AI眼镜作为一种穿戴设备，还是有很多优势的。其一是数码内容将投射直接到用户眼前，让所见到的外部世界成为了屏幕，从而解放了双手，并且也解决了屏幕尺寸无法再增大的瓶颈。想象一下便可知，更大的视野能让人仿佛置身于虚拟世界中，甚至能身临其境地“体验”电影而不是单纯地“看”电影，以及体验游戏中的各类3D互动，让画面环绕在你周围。解放了的双手也不会闲着，Meta和苹果的智能眼镜已经可以让人通过设备上的摄像头追踪手部动作，从而用手比划比划来完成各类操作。这就好比手机键盘被悬浮于眼前世界中，直接可以虚拟打字，或者直接在虚拟游戏中挥拍打网球，真实感倍增。当然，用语音直接操纵也会更加便捷，一般不需要再把手机贴近自己，也无需戴耳机。当前看主流的AI眼镜的目标是拥有一个能够将投影无缝叠加到现实世界中的增强屏幕。再加上轻薄的佩戴体验和更强大的续航以及不显著高于智能手机的定价。在人工智能时代，技术不断完善的AI眼镜会否代替手机成为人们使用AI的第一入口呢？自2007年iPhone问世以来，智能手机已主导了人们生活和工作的各项流程。如今，职场高度依赖移动设备进行沟通、数据访问和使用各种生产力应用程序。然而，这种主导地位其实也带来了一些固有的局限性。比如，使用智能手机需要用户在物理环境和数字屏幕之间不断切换注意力。人们经常需要中断手上的任务来查看手机上的通知、回复消息或访问关键信息。这种频繁的切换会降低工作效率，这是智能手机相对AI眼镜最大的缺点。与需要用户集中注意力的智能手机不同，AI眼镜可以在不干扰用户主要注意力的情况下提供情境化的信息，这无疑是便利得多的。例如，工程师在检查设备时，可以在保持与工作环境视觉联系的同时，访问技术手册、接收实时指导并与远程专家沟通。然而，当前AI眼镜的技术并未完全定型，许多功能还有待完善，这将是决定其能否代替智能手机的关键。因为有个逻辑非常容易想到：即便佩戴了AI眼镜，人们依然可以拥有智能手机。正如手机无法代替笔记本电脑一样。在硬件端，半导体是当前制约AI眼镜发展的瓶颈，因为眼镜对重量、能效、外形尺寸等方面都有着关键要求。目前，适用于智能眼镜的最佳芯片组寥寥无几，许多公司仍在使用智能手机芯片组，但这并非最佳选择。用于生成图像的微型投影仪光引擎技术仍在不断发展，面临的挑战包括视场角、成本、功耗、外形尺寸以及光源的可靠性。光学引擎、波导和虚拟像距镜头处理都可能面临挑战。电池续航时间是另一个问题。AI眼镜的摄像、播放视频、游戏等功能需要消耗大量电量，眼镜架如何做到纤薄和轻盈？此外，设计对于吸引消费者和获得社会认可至关重要，别忘了眼镜本身有时尚属性，对于女性消费者来说，千篇一律略显呆板的AI眼镜造型，如何能媲美Gentle Monster等一众潮流眼镜？更重要的是如何能让眼镜更好地适配AI应用呢？前文已经说过，在电脑和手机上使用大语言模型和各类多模态应用都是比较顺手的，不会改变人们的长期使用习惯。而AI眼镜基本是全新的使用体验，当然其在语音指挥AI模型、虚拟体验等方面有很大的优势，但如何其更好地兼容AI应用，让用户使用起来更加顺手，才是后续其能“独挑大梁”的关键。结语无论是日常社交的沟通效率、运动场景的防护与记录、办公场景的协同与便捷，还是专业领域的精准适配，场景需求始终是驱动产品功能迭代、体验优化的核心逻辑。AI眼镜能否完全代替智能手机成为AI时代的核心工具，还有一段时间才能见分晓。这其中既有硬件技术的不断创新，也有AI应用的适配度提升。随着技术进步使AI眼镜这种产品形态变得更流行，IDC预测到2029年全球智能眼镜销量将达到1870万副，相对2024年的270万副有较大的提升。但依然远远低于2024年全球14.4亿部手机的销量。不过现在看，如果说有什么产品最终能够取代智能手机，那么无论是行业分析师还是科技巨头都认为AI眼镜是最有可能的。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 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