嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌

智通财经01-08

智通财经APP获悉，嘉信理财指出，石油输出国组织的减产决定可能限制了油价的短期下跌空间。由于预期供应增加将导致价格下降，石油期货市场中远期合约(即2026年末至2027年)的价格可能会大幅下跌。近期合约或较短期的期货合约受到影响可能较小，因为委内瑞拉的重质原油进入市场需要时间，可能长达数年。嘉信理财亦指，尽管委内瑞拉局势仍不稳定，并会继续变化，但迄今为止全球市场的反应相对平稳。后市很大程度上将...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2601355362?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2026-01-08 15:09","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2601355362","market":"hk","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间 石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌","media":"智通财经","content":"<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，嘉信理财指出，石油输出国组织的减产决定可能限制了油价的短期下跌空间。由于预期供应增加将导致价格下降，石油期货市场中远期合约(即2026年末至2027年)的价格可能会大幅下跌。近期合约或较短期的期货合约受到影响可能较小，因为委内瑞拉的重质原油进入市场需要时间，可能长达数年。嘉信理财亦指，尽管委内瑞拉局势仍不稳定，并会继续变化，但迄今为止全球市场的反应相对平稳。后市很大程度上将...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1390298.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间 石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间 石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-01-08 15:09 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1390298.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，嘉信理财指出，石油输出国组织的减产决定可能限制了油价的短期下跌空间。由于预期供应增加将导致价格下降，石油期货市场中远期合约(即2026年末至2027年)的价格可能会大幅下跌。近期合约或较短期的期货合约受到影响可能较小，因为委内瑞拉的重质原油进入市场需要时间，可能长达数年。嘉信理财亦指，尽管委内瑞拉局势仍不稳定，并会继续变化，但迄今为止全球市场的反应相对平稳。后市很大程度上将...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1390298.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0130102774.USD","symbol_name":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1390298.html","article_id":"2601355362","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2601355362","pubTimestamp":1767856144,"columns":[{"name":"原油","id":4,"label_key":null}],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","name":"智通财经网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"智通财经APP获悉，嘉信理财指出，石油输出国组织的减产决定可能限制了油价的短期下跌空间。由于预期供应增加将导致价格下降，石油期货市场中远期合约的价格可能会大幅下跌。近期合约或较短期的期货合约受到影响可能较小，因为委内瑞拉的重质原油进入市场需要时间，可能长达数年。嘉信理财认为，尽管委内瑞拉并非主要石油出口国，但出于对潜在大宗商品影响的担忧，油价波动可能会持续。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zhitongcaijing.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU0130517989.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"R\" INC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0128525929.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345774391.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF AMERICAN FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE000M9KFDE8.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US LARGE CAP VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","USO":"美国原油ETF","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","SG9999001077.SGD":"United International Growth Fund SGD","BK4589":"SVB概念","SCHW":"嘉信理财","LU0477156953.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU0048573561.USD":"FIDELITY AMERICA \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","LU1074936037.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - US Value A (acc) SGD","LU1035773651.USD":"AB SICAV I - GLOBAL VALUE PORTFOLIO \"AD\" (USD) INC","LU0251142724.SGD":"Fidelity America A-SGD","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0310800379.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global A Acc SGD","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","SG9999014005.SGD":"United Global Durable Equities Fund Acc SGD","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0061475181.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) AMERICAN \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1868836914.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"3\" (USD) ACC","BK4127":"投资银行业与经纪业","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","LU0708994859.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU0345774631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF AMERICAN FRANCHISE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","LU1868836591.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN \"1U\"(USD) ACC","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","LU2360107671.USD":"BGF FINTECH \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0029864427.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) INC","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IE00B7SZLL34.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD-H"},"translate_title":"Charles Schwab: OPEC production cuts limit room for short-term oil price declines, medium and forward oil futures contracts may fall sharply","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DWT":0.6,"BZmain":0.6,"SCHW":1.5,"DUG":0.6,"CLmain":1.5,"QMmain":1.5,"SCO":1.5,"USO":1.5,"UCO":1.5,"DDG":0.6},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，嘉信理财指出，石油输出国组织的减产决定可能限制了油价的短期下跌空间。由于预期供应增加将导致价格下降，石油期货市场中远期合约(即2026年末至2027年)的价格可能会大幅下跌。近期合约或较短期的期货合约受到影响可能较小，因为委内瑞拉的重质原油进入市场需要时间，可能长达数年。嘉信理财亦指，尽管委内瑞拉局势仍不稳定，并会继续变化，但迄今为止全球市场的反应相对平稳。后市很大程度上将取决于美国对委内瑞拉的介入程度、两国之外的主要石油生产国将如何回应，以及能源市场是否会出现剧烈波动。不确定性可能影响长期国债收益率走向，进而引发股市波动，但纵观历史，地缘政治事件很少对市场产生长期影响。嘉信理财认为，尽管委内瑞拉并非主要石油出口国，但出于对潜在大宗商品影响的担忧，油价波动可能会持续。委内瑞拉的石油日产量曾超过300万桶，但现在已低于100万桶。相比之下，美国的日产量为1300万桶。委内瑞拉最大的石油客户是中国，但中国只有约5%的石油进口来自该国。另外，考虑到局势的多变，预计美联储近期决策所受影响有限。然而，若油价呈现下跌趋势并带动汽油价格走低，将有助缓解当前通胀问题，并可能为宽松货币政策创造条件。在其他条件不变的情况下，这对股市将是积极信号。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2601355362","isCrawlerRequest":true}

嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间 石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌

精彩评论

嘉信理财：OPEC减产限制短期油价下跌空间石油期货中远期合约或大幅下跌