季度业绩前瞻 | 中国石油：预计2026年3月30日公布年报，预测Q4一致预期营收1931.75~8954.66亿元，同比变动-71.6%~31.6%

朝阳永续2025-12-31

1. 最近拟披露财报发布日中国石油（601857.SH）将于2026年3月30日公布2025年年报。2.中国石油第四季度业绩预期怎么样？截至2025年12月31日，根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据：预测公司Q4一致预期营业收入1931.75~8954.66亿元，同比变动-71.6%~31.6%；预测公司Q4一致预期净利润245.76~412.51亿元，同比变动-22.9%~29.3%。关注后续财报数据...

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最近拟披露财报发布日中国石油（601857.SH）将于2026年3月30日公布2025年年报。2.中国石油第四季度业绩预期怎么样？截至2025年12月31日，根据朝阳永续季度业绩前瞻数据：预测公司Q4一致预期营业收入1931.75~8954.66亿元，同比变动-71.6%~31.6%；预测公司Q4一致预期净利润245.76~412.51亿元，同比变动-22.9%~29.3%。关注后续财报数据披露后能否超预期，朝阳永续A股季度业绩前瞻数据将为投资者提供业绩鉴定。3.中国石油最新卖方观点民生证券认为：中国石油2025年前三季度营业收入21692.6亿元，同比下降3.9%；归母净利润1262.8亿元，同比下降4.9%。第三季度成品油销售和天然气销售推动利润环比增长，营业收入7191.6亿元，同比增长2.3%，归母净利润422.9亿元，同比增长13.7%。勘探业务油气当量产量453百万桶，同比增长3.8%，布伦特原油期货结算均价环比增长2.2%。天然气销售量671亿立方米，同比增长7.1%。炼化业务原油加工量346百万桶，同比增长1.0%，吉林石化等转型升级项目稳步推进。销售业务汽/柴/煤油销量同比均有增长，煤油需求持续高增长。分业务来说：1)成品油销售和天然气销售:第三季度营业收入和归母净利润环比增长，成品油销售和天然气销售是主要驱动力。2)勘探业务:油气当量产量同比增长3.8%，布伦特原油期货结算均价环比增长2.2%。3)天然气销售:销量同比增长7.1%，通过优化资源池结构、加大营销力度等措施提升销售效益。4)炼化业务:原油加工量同比增长1.0%，吉林石化等转型升级项目稳步推进。5)销售业务:汽/柴/煤油销量同比均有增长，煤油需求持续高增长，通过差异化营销策略提升效益。天风证券认为：中国石油2025年第三季度业绩超出市场预期，营收7192亿元，环比增长3.2%，归母净利润423亿元，环比增长13.7%。上游业务经营利润环比持平，原油产量微增，天然气产量微降，油价微增，单位操作成本提升。炼化板块经营利润环比减少5亿，化工板块持续低迷。营销板块利润环比大幅增长，成品油销售量环比增长4.8%。天然气销售板块利润增长得益于销量增加和成本降低。（注：本文内容基于朝阳永续AI技术生成，文中相关盈利预测数据均来自朝阳永续盈利预测数据库）风险提示：本文所示数据或案例仅供参考之用，不能作为未来投资依据。投资股票有风险，市场波动、公司业绩、政策因素等都可能导致股票价格波动。请您在投资前充分了解相关信息，并根据自身的风险承受能力做出投资决策。更多业绩前瞻数据问答、前瞻及诊断，立即使用AI小二：网页端：https://aixiaoer.go-goal.cn/PC&App端：点击左下角“阅读原文”","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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