马斯克宣战，太空可见！把AI超算涂成这样，微软破防了

新智元2025-12-26

新智元报道编辑：元宇好困【新智元导读】马斯克提前宣告了AI算力竞赛的终局：xAI将在五年内拥有超过所有对手总和的AI算力！通过押注Colossus超算中心与巨额融资，马斯克试图以极致的算力扩张和烧钱换取在AI竞赛中的领先地位。刚刚，马斯克提前宣告了AI算力竞赛的终局！他在X平台上放话：xAI在不到5年内，将拥有超过其它所有公司总和的AI算力。这是一句极具挑衅性的战略宣言，直接把xAI放在了与...

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Painting AI supercomputers like this, Microsoft has broken defenses","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TSYW.SI":0.6,"UFO":0.6},"content_text":"新智元报道编辑：元宇 好困【新智元导读】马斯克提前宣告了AI算力竞赛的终局：xAI将在五年内拥有超过所有对手总和的AI算力！通过押注Colossus超算中心与巨额融资，马斯克试图以极致的算力扩张和烧钱换取在AI竞赛中的领先地位。刚刚，马斯克提前宣告了AI算力竞赛的终局！他在X平台上放话：xAI在不到5年内，将拥有超过其它所有公司总和的AI算力。这是一句极具挑衅性的战略宣言，直接把xAI放在了与Google、OpenAI、Anthropic、Meta、Amazon、Microsoft等一众竞争对手的对立面上。推文中，马斯克还转发了位于美国田纳西州孟菲斯（Memphis）的一张xAI超算中心Colossus（巨像）的卫星航拍图。“Colossus”一词取自古代世界七大奇迹之一的罗德岛巨像（Colossus of Rhodes），这是一个非常“马斯克式”的隐喻，暗指他将以极端规模和物理算力来承载与放大AI的野心。xAI位于孟菲斯的Colossus超算中心用于训练大型AI模型，是目前全球规模最大的商用AI超算中心之一马斯克推文图中极其醒目的“MACROHARD”的字样，并非真实名字，而是xAI团队后期玩梗涂上去的，在词意上很明显是对微软“Microsoft”的一种调侃（挑战）。意在反向强调：xAI不玩“微+软”的云叙事，而是“宏大+硬核”的物理算力堆叠。也就是说真正决定AI上限的，是宏观尺度的硬件与能量。从Colossus 1到Colossus 2的算力狂奔Colossus 1诞生的原因只有一个：xAI没时间了。它不像当时的OpenAI有微软托底，如果不能尽快把GPU跑起来，xAI可能连上桌的资格都没有。因此，Colossus 1更像是xAI 的“算力起跑线”，核心目标只有一个：快。于是Colossus 1于2024年下半年启动建设，并在极短时间内投入使用。这是一场典型的工程妥协，利用现成的工业厂房、电力以及成熟方案，先把算力跑起来再说。Colossus 1以最快的速度解决了有算力可用的问题，但这样的代价也很明显：旧厂房在电力密度、冷却能力和系统布局上都有先天上限，规模一旦继续放大，效率和稳定性都会迅速下降。当模型训练进入更高强度阶段，xAI需要的已不只是“能用的算力”，而是一套可以长期、持续扩展的工程体系。这正是Colossus 2出现的原因。如果说Colossus 1是“旧工程改造”，Colossus 2则是“原生超算级工程”。该项目于2025年3月7日启动，xAI收购了孟菲斯一个100万平方英尺的仓库及相邻地块。不到半年，2025年8月22日，119台风冷冷水机组已经矗立在现场，大约200MW的冷却能力已就位，足以支撑约11万张GB200 NVL72。而在7月第一批机架就已经进场安装。对比一下其它数据中心的建设进度，我们更能感受到这个数据的恐怖之处：完成同样规模的基础设施建设，Oracle、Crusoe甚至OpenAI通常需要15个月，而xAI只用了6个月！时间在这里被工程控制折叠了。据Semianalysis等行业机构估计，Colossus 2到2025年第三季度的物理数据中心容量（可用于摆放GPU、冷却、供电等基础设施）将超过Meta的Superintelligence集群和Anthropic的现有算力储备。当孟菲斯说“不”马斯克去了密西西比真正让工程圈倒吸一口凉气的，还不是Colossus 2的速度，而是电。如果你看过Colossus 2的航拍图，可能会有一个疑问：电呢？现场既没有大型变电站，也看不到燃气轮机。答案是电不在这里。2025年5月，孟菲斯商会公开声明这里不会安装涡轮机。他们并没有撒谎，因为马斯克根本没打算在这里建电厂。面对田纳西州的监管阻力，xAI极其精明地跨过州界，在密西西比州的Southaven，距离Colossus 2仅一步之遥的地方，买下了一座废弃的杜克能源发电厂。密西西比州的监管机构迅速给这波操作开了绿灯：无需复杂许可，允许xAI临时运行燃气轮机12个月。于是，州界一侧，数台35MW的燃气轮机昼夜轰鸣。州界的另一侧，是一排排Tesla Megapack储能系统。而电力则穿过州界，源源不断地输送给田纳西州的AI大脑。这不是规划图里的理想方案，而是一场现实中的“能源游击战”。资本为算力供电为了打赢这场闪电战，xAI并没有自己造所有轮子，他们找来了最强的雇佣兵：Solaris Energy Infrastructure（SEI）。SEI拥有庞大的移动涡轮机队。在xAI Colossus 2数据中心未来约1.7GW的电力需求中，Solaris将提供超过1.1GW。到2027年，Solaris为xAI提供的可用电力预计将突破1.5GW。xAI不仅解决了算力问题，还实际上构建了一个独立的电网帝国。当然，这一切都是在疯狂地烧钱。Colossus 2的资本支出，高达数百亿美元，相比之下xAI的收入显得微乎其微。其传闻中的9位数年度经常性收入（ARR）很大一部分不过是来自X平台的内部转账，这是左口袋进右口袋的财务游戏。但马斯克从不缺筹码。正当一些风投对xAI估值超过Anthropic感到困惑时，中东的石油资本早已入局：沙特王国控股公司在Twitter私有化时就保留了股份。卡塔尔投资局和阿联酋的Vy Capital都是老朋友。最新的动向是：xAI正寻求400亿美元的新一轮融资，估值逼近2000亿美元。如果外部资金还不够？马斯克还可以抵押Tesla和SpaceX的股票。为了不输给奥特曼，他愿意赌上一切。作为交换，未来极有可能看到一项“双赢”交易：中东的主权财富基金出钱，xAI出技术，在沙特或阿联酋的沙漠中建立下一个大规模AI数据中心。007特工队xAI的硬核文化xAI究竟是一家什么样的公司？它的文化是极致的“硬核”。在这里，996是福利，007才是常态。一点也不逊于小扎在Meta搞的“高强度之年”。这种高压环境逼退了许多前CFO和资深研究员，但也筛选出了一批狂热的信徒。虽然顶尖的基础设施人才被OpenAI挖角，但xAI依然靠着像Jimmy Ba（Adam优化器发明者）这样的大牛和一群渴望证明自己的年轻人，维持着惊人的工程推进速度。在产品侧，Grok 4虽然在编程能力上被Claude Sonnet和GPT-4压制，但xAI并没有在传统的“代码生产力”赛道上死磕。他们选择了一条极其独特的强化学习路径。当其他公司用代码和逻辑推理训练模型时，试图让AI成为更好的程序员时，xAI把赌注押在了情感与互动上。他们认为通往AGI的钥匙可能在于情商和同理心。因此，除了Grok之外，xAI还推出了Ani——一个面向消费者的虚拟角色产品。xAI正在利用全球数亿用户与Ani的互动，以此构建一个前所未有的RL环境。不过这条路，可能通向AGI，也可能通向一个完全不同的未来。以战养战马斯克曾在2025年全员会议上强调，未来2-3年是xAI的关键期，要在AI赛场上争夺领先地位。马斯克称，xAI快速扩展其电力和数据容量的能力，将成为实现超越人类智能的超级智能、并成为最强大的人工智能公司的关键因素。也有报道指出，xAI正在筹集巨额资金用于算力扩张。这将是一个巨大的资金黑洞。数千兆瓦的电力、数十万张GPU，每一秒都在燃烧现金。虽然X平台正在通过整合xAI技术来提高广告变现效率，但这比起数百亿美元的训练成本，不过是杯水车薪。马斯克通过推文宣告Colossus已经苏醒，它将是xAI决战全球算力军备竞赛中重要筹码。Colossus是算力巨兽，也是烧钱机器。它支撑了xAI的崛起，同时也加剧了市场的金融脆弱性——当训练支出远超推理收入时，泡沫就在积聚，就好比AI资本市场的一枚深水炸弹。参考资料：https://epoch.ai/data/data-centers/satellite-explorer/xAIColossus2MemphisTennessee/2025-10-19https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2003940713449640025","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2594002250","isCrawlerRequest":true}