经济学家警告：美元危机或在一夜之间爆发！黄金和白银价格拉响警报

市场资讯2025-12-24

文章来源：24K99FX168财经报社（亚太）讯本月以来，贵金属价格屡创新高，但经济学家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）认为，这波涨势可能预示着一场金融崩盘。在12月18日做客《朱莉娅·拉罗什秀》（The Julia La Roche Show）时，希夫警告称，美国经济正逼近一场历史性危机。他认为，通胀以及金银价格的大幅上涨正在削弱市场对美国国债的信心，并为美元的急剧下跌埋下伏笔。（截图...

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Gold and silver prices sound the alarm","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"01787":0.9,"02899":0.9},"content_text":"文章来源：24K99FX168财经报社（亚太）讯 本月以来，贵金属价格屡创新高，但经济学家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）认为，这波涨势可能预示着一场金融崩盘。在12月18日做客《朱莉娅·拉罗什秀》（The Julia La Roche Show）时，希夫警告称，美国经济正逼近一场历史性危机。他认为，通胀以及金银价格的大幅上涨正在削弱市场对美国国债的信心，并为美元的急剧下跌埋下伏笔。（截图来源：Finbold）希夫说：“当你看到金价大幅上涨时，这表明人们对美元的信心正在流失。这就是人们买入黄金的原因，他们也因此放弃了原本可以通过持有美国国债获得的利息收益。”因此，这位分析人士表示，他手中持有的现金非常少，多年来几乎一直保持接近满仓投资。他主张配置派息的海外股票、新兴市场，以及与资源相关的股票，涵盖贵金属与工业金属、能源和农业等领域。他称，这一策略是长期的抗通胀交易，而如今已经开始显著跑赢。黄金和白银价格拉响警报在希夫的观点中，黄金处于核心位置，因为金价上涨可能引发一个自我强化的循环：随着市场对美元的信心走弱，更多投资者转向黄金，迫使美国不得不提供更高的利率来吸引债券买家。不过，白银同样值得关注，因为这两种资产都可能“抽走美元和美国国债脚下的地毯”，并“令失业率飙升”。希夫警告说：“黄金和白银正在尖叫着表明，一场货币危机即将到来。”这位长期批评美元的人士还质疑美元储备货币地位的持久性。他表示，正是这种地位使美国得以通过输出美元而非商品，长期实现消费大于生产。希夫推断，在美元危机中，这种格局将会突然逆转。也就是说，进口商品会变得昂贵得多，海外对美国股票和债券的需求将下降，资产价格会走低，而大多数美国人的生活水平将大幅下滑。希夫随后在社交平台X上写道：“黄金在单日上涨超过100美元的情况并不常见。但随着这轮牛市走向成熟，单日上涨100美元将会变得司空见惯。很快，黄金将首次出现单日上涨200美元的走势。不要忽视这一警告的重要性，以及它对美国经济所预示的含义。”希夫最后警告称，美元危机可能会突然爆发，甚至可能发生在亚洲交易时段，因为该地区的美国债权人持有大量以美元计价的资产。股市面临风险在讨论的后半段，希夫指出，2025年是多年来首次出现海外市场显著跑赢美国股市的情况；而美国股市在经历了以宽松货币为特征、持续十年的牛市之后，估值仍然偏高。资金流向已经开始出现逆转。比如，过去十年大量涌入美国资产的海外投资者，如今正把资金汇回本国；与此同时，美国投资者也越来越多地将目光投向海外，以寻求更好的回报。希夫认为，这种转变可能会给美国经济带来挑战。新浪声明：此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。责任编辑：朱赫楠","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2593429781","isCrawlerRequest":true}