美国经济学家警告明年有“两大隐忧”：通胀失控和美股暴跌

格隆汇2025-12-23

美国约翰霍普金斯大学经济学教授、诺贝尔奖获得者Steve Hanke表示，2026年美国经济和市场有“两大隐忧”，让他彻夜难眠：一是通胀失控，二是美股可能会暴跌。Hanke列举了数个可能在明年加剧通胀的事态发展：美联储降息、量化紧缩结束、贷款规则放宽、美国国债发行增加。Hanke警告，当前的美股，特别是科技板块，正处于历史性的泡沫之中。他直言：“就股市方面，我的泡沫探测器正处于历史高位，这表明我们...

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Coyote时刻”，比喻像卡通里威利狼一样，在悬崖边奔跑却没发现脚下已经悬空，直到低头一看才坠落的瞬间，代表一种即将面临灾难的警告，表示某事或某现象在表面上看似正常，但内部已潜藏巨大风险。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.36.2","shortVersion":"4.36.2","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2593416434","isCrawlerRequest":true}