马斯克：xAI最早2026年实现AGI，公司挺过未来两三年将战胜对手

华尔街见闻12-18

马斯克似乎对其旗下的人工智能公司xAI的未来前景感到相当乐观。据媒体援引多位了解情况的知情人士透露，在上周于xAI旧金山总部举行的一次全员会议上，马斯克对员工表示，只要公司能够挺过未来两到三年，xAI就将战胜其竞争对手。马斯克表示，在迈向“超级智能”（即超越人类智能）的竞争中，快速扩展算力和数据能力将是关键因素，并有望让xAI成为最强大的AI公司。xAI有可能在未来几年内实现通用人工智能（...

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5模型实现AGI的概率约为10%，而该模型计划于明年初发布。\n马斯克还告诉员工，xAI相较于其他AI公司的一大优势在于其每年可获得约200亿至300亿美元的资金支持，并且能够受益于他旗下其他公司的协同效应。知情人士称，特斯拉今年早些时候已将Grok集成进其车辆中。\n总体而言，员工们表示马斯克对公司的进展感到满意。一位内部人士形容这场会议“节奏明快、气氛振奋”。\n此外，马斯克还在会上设想了在太空建设数据中心以及其火星殖民计划。知情人士称，他表示特斯拉的人形机器人Optimus未来或可负责这些地外数据中心的运维工作。\n马斯克此前曾表示，Optimus最早可能在明年就能为SpaceX的任务提供支持。谷歌首席执行官皮查伊和OpenAI首席执行官奥特曼也曾公开谈及在太空建设数据中心的可能性，不过皮查伊承认这是一项“登月级”的大胆设想。\n过去一年中，xAI迅速扩展其数据中心版图，该项目被命名为“Colossus（巨像）”。今年早些时候，公司表示其已拥有约20万块GPU，而马斯克称计划将这一规模扩展至100万块GPU。\nxAI是众多竞逐通用人工智能、并试图支撑数千亿美元估值的公司之一。尽管马斯克个人影响力巨大，但在由OpenAI和谷歌等巨头主导的竞争中，xAI仍是相对较新的参与者。\n这场AI竞赛丝毫没有放缓的迹象。据报道，本月早些时候，OpenAI为了加快推出最新模型甚至进入“紧急状态”。谷歌在11月发布了新的Gemini模型，而xAI也在短时间内连续推出新版Grok。\n在这次全员会议上，xAI的负责人还演示了多项现有产品的更新，包括Grok Voice、面向特斯拉车主的应用，以及智能代理agents。知情人士称，这些更新涵盖了Grok在结果预测能力上的提升、更强的语音监听功能，以及视频编辑能力等。","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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