全球静待美联储降息靴子落地，恒生科技、港股科技延续震荡，阿里巴巴、美团、金蝶国际小幅上涨

每日经济新闻12-10 11:36

12月10日早盘，港股延续调整，仅零售、农业、黄金珠宝等少数概念板块飘红。主要指数方面，恒生科技、国证港股通科技指数震荡调整，权重股阿里巴巴、美团、金蝶国际小幅上涨超1%。南向资金当日实时净买入-5.65亿元，12月以来买入节奏明显减缓。　　消息面上，当地时间12月10日晚，美联储将公布12月利率决议，全球静待降息靴子落地。机构普遍认为，大概率迎来年内的第三次、也是本轮宽松周期中的第六次降息，但也...

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slightly","themeId":"8b73af066fd9b5d81973d5442d6651dd","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SPXU":0.6,"METmain":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"09988":1.86,"OEF":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"KGDEY":1.82,"ALBmain":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"00268":1.82,"OEX":0.6,"BABA":1.86,".SPX":0.6,"TLTW":0.6,"ESmain":0.6,"MESmain":0.6,"TMF":0.6,"SH":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"HMTD.SI":0.6},"content_text":"12月10日早盘，港股延续调整，仅零售、农业、黄金珠宝等少数概念板块飘红。主要指数方面，恒生科技、国证港股通科技指数震荡调整，权重股阿里巴巴、美团、金蝶国际小幅上涨超1%。南向资金当日实时净买入-5.65亿元，12月以来买入节奏明显减缓。　　消息面上，当地时间12月10日晚，美联储将公布12月利率决议，全球静待降息靴子落地。机构普遍认为，大概率迎来年内的第三次、也是本轮宽松周期中的第六次降息，但也有声音表示：美联储会采取鹰派降息（例如强调2026年未必持续降息），该担忧同样压制降息公布前的市场表现。　　12月9日，美联储下一任掌门热门候选人——白宫国家经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特表示，美联储有“大量降息空间”。当采访者问其这是否意味着超过25个基点时，哈塞特回答说：“没错”。　　据CME“美联储观察”：美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为87.6%，维持利率不变的概率为12.4%。美联储到明年1月累计降息25个基点的概率为69.3%，维持利率不变的概率为9.3%，累计降息50个基点的概率为21.3%。　　根据国泰海通提供的数据，从港股的存量持仓结构来看，截至 2025 年三季度末，偏长线的稳定型外资持股占比 40.7%，偏短线的灵活型外资持股占比 19.1%，两类外资合计持股占比达 59.8%。总的来看，尽管南向资金涌入汹涌，目前港股的定价权主要还是在外资手上。如果美联储降息落地，或对外资主导的港股市场构成流动性边际利好。　　数据显示，在美联储降息周期内，港股科技成长资产反弹空间普遍大于A股。港股通科技ETF基金（159101.SZ）跟踪国证港股通科技指数，成分股全部为港股通标的，相比恒生系列ETF，港股通类ETF不占QDII额度，流动性更优，更容易获得资金积极抢筹；相比恒生科技，港股通科技减配零售消费、超配生物科技，单一权重占比也更高，因而一旦反弹启动，或表现出更大的弹性。（文章来源：每日经济新闻）","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"economic","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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