蓝色巨人IBM看空AI：8万亿美元回不了本 AGI可能性0-1%

DoNews12-03 20:31

快科技12月3日消息，如果评选科技公司中的AI先驱，蓝色巨人IBM绝对位列其中，多年前就靠沃森AI扬名天下，然而该公司CEO日前对AI的表态可不是那么乐观。IBM公司CEO Arvind Krishna日前在一期播客节目上谈到了对AI的看法，他对当前业界不惜一切代价搞算力的做法并不认可，还给算了一笔账。他提到当前全球为了AGI的目标已经承诺了100GW的算力，按照1GW大约要800亿美元的投资来算...

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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251203204417a4ca70dc&s=b><strong>DoNews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>快科技12月3日消息，如果评选科技公司中的AI先驱，蓝色巨人IBM绝对位列其中，多年前就靠沃森AI扬名天下，然而该公司CEO日前对AI的表态可不是那么乐观。IBM公司CEO Arvind Krishna日前在一期播客节目上谈到了对AI的看法，他对当前业界不惜一切代价搞算力的做法并不认可，还给算了一笔账。他提到当前全球为了AGI的目标已经承诺了100GW的算力，按照1GW大约要800亿美元的投资来算...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20251203204417a4ca70dc&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1778281490.HKD","symbol_name":"HSBC GIF GLOBAL LOWER CARBON EQUITY \"AD\" (HKD) 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0-1%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AGI":1.5,"IBM":1.5},"content_text":"快科技12月3日消息，如果评选科技公司中的AI先驱，蓝色巨人IBM绝对位列其中，多年前就靠沃森AI扬名天下，然而该公司CEO日前对AI的表态可不是那么乐观。IBM公司CEO Arvind Krishna日前在一期播客节目上谈到了对AI的看法，他对当前业界不惜一切代价搞算力的做法并不认可，还给算了一笔账。他提到当前全球为了AGI的目标已经承诺了100GW的算力，按照1GW大约要800亿美元的投资来算，这样的投资高达8万亿美元，差不多奔着57万亿元去了。这样庞大的投资如何收回本？Krishna认为不太可能，一个是折旧费，五年就要用完所有设备，另一个就是利息，8万亿美元的投资至少需要8000亿美元的利润才能支付利息，这也是无法达到的。除了认为投资上不可能做到平衡之外，Krishna也不认可当前的AI技术，他表示现在的技术在没有进一步突破的情况，带领人们实现AGI的可能性只有0-1%。相比以往看空AI的代表性力量，IBM CEO的表态可能是近期最不乐观的，不仅否定了财务上的可能性，还把技术上的可能性给判死了。不过他也给自己的表态做了回补，表示不是在否定AI的整体价值，认为在企业中依然可以释放数万亿美元的生产力。本文转载自快科技，转载目的在于传递更多信息，并不代表本站赞同其观点和对其真实性负责。如涉及作品内容、版权和其它问题，请联系快科技通知我方删除，我方将在收到通知后第一时间删除内容！本文只提供参考并不构成任何投资及应用建议。本站拥有对此声明的最终解释权。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-2","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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