山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏关注海外价格回升趋势

智通财经2025-09-26

智通财经APP获悉，山西证券发布研报称，随着反内卷带来的政策转向，短期煤炭市场风险偏好提升，弹性标的排序靠前。动力煤方面，随着长协价格倒挂解除，预计上半年因长协兑现率较差而导致的产销比恶化和累库现象将在三季度实现改善。炼焦煤方面，金九银十需求预期不差，若有供给扰动，价格存在反弹预期。山西证券主要观点如下：进口煤量收缩趋势继续放缓，进口价下降进口量方面，1-8月累计增速实现-12.2%，累计进口煤量...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2570588078?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2025-09-26 11:50","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","id":"2570588078","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏 关注海外价格回升趋势","media":"智通财经","content":"<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，山西证券发布研报称，随着反内卷带来的政策转向，短期煤炭市场风险偏好提升，弹性标的排序靠前。动力煤方面，随着长协价格倒挂解除，预计上半年因长协兑现率较差而导致的产销比恶化和累库现象将在三季度实现改善。炼焦煤方面，金九银十需求预期不差，若有供给扰动，价格存在反弹预期。山西证券主要观点如下：进口煤量收缩趋势继续放缓，进口价下降进口量方面，1-8月累计增速实现-12.2%，累计进口煤量...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1349761.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏 关注海外价格回升趋势</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏 关注海外价格回升趋势\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-09-26 11:50 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1349761.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，山西证券发布研报称，随着反内卷带来的政策转向，短期煤炭市场风险偏好提升，弹性标的排序靠前。动力煤方面，随着长协价格倒挂解除，预计上半年因长协兑现率较差而导致的产销比恶化和累库现象将在三季度实现改善。炼焦煤方面，金九银十需求预期不差，若有供给扰动，价格存在反弹预期。山西证券主要观点如下：进口煤量收缩趋势继续放缓，进口价下降进口量方面，1-8月累计增速实现-12.2%，累计进口煤量...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1349761.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK0028","symbol_name":"国家队","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1349761.html","article_id":"2570588078","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2570588078","pubTimestamp":1758858609,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"stock_zhitongcaijing","name":"智通财经网"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"炼焦煤方面，金九银十需求预期不差，若有供给扰动，价格存在反弹预期。分煤种来看，所有煤种环比均为正增长，同比方面动力煤和炼焦煤维持负增长。分煤种看，全煤种进口价格较去年同期均有较大幅度下降，8月当月炼焦煤进口价格环比小幅增加。国内缺口继续提振进口需求8月内贸煤价格先涨后跌，国内原煤产量同比维持收缩走势，但环比小幅增长。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"zhitongcaijing.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"BK0028":"国家队","002500":"山西证券","BK0183":"MSCI概念","BK0276":"资本市场","BK0188":"融资融券"},"translate_title":"Shanxi Securities: Imported coal continues to recover in August 25, pay attention to the rebound trend of overseas prices","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"002500":1.5},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，山西证券发布研报称，随着反内卷带来的政策转向，短期煤炭市场风险偏好提升，弹性标的排序靠前。动力煤方面，随着长协价格倒挂解除，预计上半年因长协兑现率较差而导致的产销比恶化和累库现象将在三季度实现改善。炼焦煤方面，金九银十需求预期不差，若有供给扰动，价格存在反弹预期。山西证券主要观点如下：进口煤量收缩趋势继续放缓，进口价下降进口量方面，1-8月累计增速实现-12.2%，累计进口煤量仍然呈现收缩趋势;尽管8月当月同比连续6个月保持负增速，但同比负增速持续边际放缓、环比呈现增长幅度扩大，其中8月进口煤同比降6.76%、环比增20.02%。分煤种来看，所有煤种环比均为正增长，同比方面动力煤和炼焦煤维持负增长。动力煤环比增量主要来印尼、澳大利亚、俄罗斯;炼焦煤环比增量主要来自外蒙古;褐煤环比增量主要来自印度尼西亚;无烟煤环比增量主要来自俄罗斯。价格方面，8月当月全煤种进口价格实现66美元/吨，维持同比回落趋势，8月当月环比降低-0.84美元/吨。分煤种看，全煤种进口价格较去年同期均有较大幅度下降，8月当月炼焦煤进口价格环比小幅增加。国内缺口继续提振进口需求8月内贸煤价格先涨后跌，国内原煤产量同比维持收缩走势，但环比小幅增长。尽管如此，国内缺口仍对进口煤需求有所提振。结构上看，8月延续6月以来的进口煤复苏走势，本月四大煤种环比均有所增加。价差有望继续拉动进口，关注海外价格走势进口价格走势在一定程度上显示出国内需求带动海外价格提升，虽然8月的进口增量仍然没有带动进口价格的提升，但该行注意到进口价格环比降价幅度有所减少，同时部分煤种环比回升。反内卷政策持续发酵，若国内供应继续收缩，内贸煤和进口煤价差的背离或继续带动进口量回暖。风险提示：国内需求不及预期，国内供给显著增加，国际煤价大幅下跌","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.0","shortVersion":"4.44.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2570588078","isCrawlerRequest":true}

山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏 关注海外价格回升趋势

精彩评论

山西证券：25年8月进口煤继续复苏关注海外价格回升趋势