克而瑞：预计整体二手房市场热度仍将进一步回落

智通财经网09-19

智通财经APP获悉，克而瑞地产研究表示，8月以来重点城市二手房成交仍处于缓步下行通道，据CRIC监测数据，8月30个重点城市二手房成交面积环比降9%，同比持平，增长动能放缓。预判后市，该机构认为，整体二手房市场热度仍将进一步回落，低位持稳。一方面挂牌量增多，供给加大；另一方面，随着9月传统营销旺季，新房市场高得房率的优质产品力新盘集中入市也将分流部分高端客群需求；而从刚需盘来看，主要取决于业主让利...

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href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250919194112a72a35b0&s=b><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>智通财经APP获悉，克而瑞地产研究表示，8月以来重点城市二手房成交仍处于缓步下行通道，据CRIC监测数据，8月30个重点城市二手房成交面积环比降9%，同比持平，增长动能放缓。预判后市，该机构认为，整体二手房市场热度仍将进一步回落，低位持稳。一方面挂牌量增多，供给加大；另一方面，随着9月传统营销旺季，新房市场高得房率的优质产品力新盘集中入市也将分流部分高端客群需求；而从刚需盘来看，主要取决于业主让利...</p>\n\n<a 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further","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CAOVY":0.9,"00960":0.9,"01109":0.9,"00813":0.9,"00688":0.9,"01918":0.9,"02007":0.9,"03900":0.9},"content_text":"智通财经APP获悉，克而瑞地产研究表示，8月以来重点城市二手房成交仍处于缓步下行通道，据CRIC监测数据，8月30个重点城市二手房成交面积环比降9%，同比持平，增长动能放缓。预判后市，该机构认为，整体二手房市场热度仍将进一步回落，低位持稳。一方面挂牌量增多，供给加大；另一方面，随着9月传统营销旺季，新房市场高得房率的优质产品力新盘集中入市也将分流部分高端客群需求；而从刚需盘来看，主要取决于业主让利幅度，因挂牌基数较大，若无显著价格优势，交易周期或将进一步拉长，市区和远郊老破小都将面临不小的去化压力。01.京沪深8月新增二手挂牌套数同环比齐增 沪深同比涨幅超5成为了更好的分析二手房业主心态变化，克而瑞地产研究主力聚焦了北京、上海、深圳、杭州等核心一二线城市，从CRIC监测的四城新增挂牌套数来看，8月四城挂牌量季节性回升，京沪深同环比齐增，沪深同比涨幅均在5成以上。仅杭州一城同环比齐跌，业主挂牌积极性稳步回落。02.沪深新挂牌600万-800万元房源占比显著提升 杭州刚需、高改“两头翘”分总价段来看，热点城市北京、上海、深圳、杭州四城新增挂牌量呈现出典型测差异化特征：(1)北京小于500万元低总价段刚需刚改房源业主挂牌积极性回升，新增挂牌量占比环比持增，其中100-500万既是新增挂牌量主力，占比超6成，同时增幅在各面积段中也较为显著。(2)上海、深圳呈现出600万-800万元房源占比显著回升的特征，8月环比增幅分别为0.37pcts和0.93pcts；高端房源占比持稳，波幅较小。(3)杭州呈现出中等总价段挂牌占比下降，而刚需、高改豪宅“两头翘”特征，500-3000万元各总价段2025年8月挂牌套数占比环比均出现不同程度回落，其中600-800万元跌幅最为显著，达到了0.52pcts,相较而言低总价300万元以内和高总价3000万元以上挂牌套数占比均出现了不同程度回升，分别上涨了1.27pcts和0.17pcts。03.京沪深杭90-120平房源占比增幅显著小、大面积新增挂牌占比下降从面积段来看，四城新增挂牌套数环比上涨的主要集中在70-140平，北京增幅显著的主要集中在90-120平,这类房源基本为三房/四房配置，满足了三口之家一步到位的置业需求；上海、深圳除了中等面积段增幅显著之外，160-180平高改面积段也出现了小幅增长；杭州70-120平以内各面积段均出现了不同程度回升，环比涨幅均超0.7pcts。总体来看，8月，重点四城二手房新增挂牌量呈现季节性回升，但城市间分化显著。京沪深三地同环比双双增长，其中上海同比涨幅达51%，深圳更是高达94%，反映出业主信心有所恢复、出售意愿增强。唯独杭州同环比分别下降28%和3%，挂牌积极性稳步回落，市场情绪相对谨慎。结合总价段和面积段综合分析可以看出，二手房价下探特征显著，尤其是北京、杭州，低总价段和中等面积段新增挂牌房源占比持续上升。相较而言，沪深还是有部分大面积段、中改房源业主挂牌积极性稳步上升。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 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