花旗：如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加

澎湃新闻2025-07-22

7月21日，花旗发布2025下半年国内宏观经济展望，花旗集团董事总经理、大中华区首席经济学家余向荣认为，在继续巩固实际增长势能的同时，下半年既有必要也有可能着力名义增长修复。如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，那么中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加。出口方面，余向荣表示，预计下半年出口随着基数抬高会有所放缓，但是不会崩塌。全年出口能实现中个位数正增长，与年初悲观的市场预测形成鲜明对比。内需方面，余向荣认为，...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2553313522?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2025-07-22 17:18","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","id":"2553313522","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"花旗：如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加","media":"澎湃新闻","content":"<div>\n<p>7月21日，花旗发布2025下半年国内宏观经济展望，花旗集团董事总经理、大中华区首席经济学家余向荣认为，在继续巩固实际增长势能的同时，下半年既有必要也有可能着力名义增长修复。如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，那么中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加。出口方面，余向荣表示，预计下半年出口随着基数抬高会有所放缓，但是不会崩塌。全年出口能实现中个位数正增长，与年初悲观的市场预测形成鲜明对比。内需方面，余向荣认为，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250722173145a6ba7a4d&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>花旗：如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n花旗：如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-07-22 17:18 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250722173145a6ba7a4d&s=b><strong>澎湃新闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>7月21日，花旗发布2025下半年国内宏观经济展望，花旗集团董事总经理、大中华区首席经济学家余向荣认为，在继续巩固实际增长势能的同时，下半年既有必要也有可能着力名义增长修复。如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，那么中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加。出口方面，余向荣表示，预计下半年出口随着基数抬高会有所放缓，但是不会崩塌。全年出口能实现中个位数正增长，与年初悲观的市场预测形成鲜明对比。内需方面，余向荣认为，...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250722173145a6ba7a4d&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU2456880835.USD","symbol_name":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250722173145a6ba7a4d&s=b","article_id":"2553313522","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tencent","url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250722173145a6ba7a4d&s=b","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}#news_title{font-weight:bold;#titleStyle#;}#news_description span{font-size:12px;#descriptionStyle#;}.footer-note{#statement#}","selectors":".mod-LoadTzbdNews, body","filters":".relate-stock, .hot-list, .recom-box, .wx-sou","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2553313522","pubTimestamp":1753175880,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"tencent","name":"腾讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"出口方面，余向荣表示，预计下半年出口随着基数抬高会有所放缓，但是不会崩塌。内需方面，余向荣认为，下半年内需将呈现分化复苏的态势，行业之间冷热不均，但总体增长不会脱轨，以人工智能、新消费、创新药等为代表的新经济正方兴未艾，对整体增长的贡献越来越大。余向荣表示，近期内需增长动能边际走弱，内外需分化有所加剧。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"LU2456880835.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AT\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1791807156.HKD":"BGF WORLD FINANCIALS \"A2\" (HKDHDG) ACC","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","LU2360032135.SGD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (SGDHDG) INC","BK4566":"资本集团","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","LU0130102774.USD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA USD","LU2125154778.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1201861249.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity PA SGD-H","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930227.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"AS\" (SGD) ACC A","LU0980610538.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD-H","C":"花旗","LU0162691827.USD":"BGF US BASIC VALUE \"A4\" INC","LU2417539215.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMF\" (USD) INC","LU0648001328.SGD":"Natixis Harris Associates US Equity RA SGD","LU0072461881.USD":"BGF US BASIC VALUE \"A2\" ACC","LU0128525689.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\"(USD) ACC","BK4588":"碎股","LU0477156953.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"RE\" (USD) ACC","LU2125154935.USD":"ALLSPRING (LUX) WF GLOBAL EQUITY ENHANCED INCOME \"I\" (USD) INC","LU0130517989.USD":"HARRIS ASSOCIATES US VALUE EQUITY \"R\" INC","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","LU0052756011.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL BALANCED \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0310800965.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Balanced A Acc SGD","IE00BSNM7G36.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN SYSTEMATIC GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4504":"桥水持仓","BK4207":"综合性银行","LU0098860793.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" INC","LU2236285917.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"AMG\" (USD) INC","LU2462157665.USD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓"},"translate_title":"Citi: If growth remains resilient and prices improve, the attractiveness of Chinese assets will further increase","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"C":1},"content_text":"7月21日，花旗发布2025下半年国内宏观经济展望，花旗集团董事总经理、大中华区首席经济学家余向荣认为，在继续巩固实际增长势能的同时，下半年既有必要也有可能着力名义增长修复。如果增长保持韧劲、物价出现改善，那么中国资产的吸引力会进一步增加。出口方面，余向荣表示，预计下半年出口随着基数抬高会有所放缓，但是不会崩塌。全年出口能实现中个位数正增长，与年初悲观的市场预测形成鲜明对比。内需方面，余向荣认为，下半年内需将呈现分化复苏的态势，行业之间冷热不均，但总体增长不会脱轨，以人工智能、新消费、创新药等为代表的新经济正方兴未艾，对整体增长的贡献越来越大。余向荣表示，近期内需增长动能边际走弱，内外需分化有所加剧。他认为，大规模刺激并非政策选项，但增量政策有望加快落地，政策执行亦会提速。在供应端，则可重点关注中央财经委关于“反内卷”部署在行业层面的实质性动作。（澎湃新闻记者 林倩冰）责任编辑：何俊熹","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"isLaohu8Offline":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.44.1","shortVersion":"4.44.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2553313522","isCrawlerRequest":true}