这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘

金融界2025-06-21

AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

股道自然
2025-06-22
股道自然
周一暴跌给你看

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2545310971?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2025-06-21 08:28","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","id":"2545310971","market":"us","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘","media":"金融界","content":"<div>\n<p>AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-06-21 08:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b><strong>金融界</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4532","symbol_name":"文艺复兴科技持仓","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b","article_id":"2545310971","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tencent","url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}#news_title{font-weight:bold;#titleStyle#;}#news_description span{font-size:12px;#descriptionStyle#;}.footer-note{#statement#}","selectors":".mod-LoadTzbdNews, body","filters":".relate-stock, .hot-list, .recom-box, .wx-sou","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2545310971","pubTimestamp":1750465692,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"tencent","name":"腾讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。AMD 本周的大涨已将股价推升至这三条均线之上，为后续涨幅打开了空间。当时，AMD 从 2022 年 10 月的低点已明显反弹，随后站上上述三条均线，标志着一轮强劲上涨行情的新阶段。从更大周期来看，自 4 月低点以来，AMD 股价已反弹约 70%，涨势强劲。放大观察，自 2014 年以来，AMD 曾经历四轮深度、多月级别的修正，而每一次回调后的反弹都极为强劲，涨幅远超前期跌幅。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","LU1923623000.USD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A USD","BK4512":"苹果概念","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","RSI":"Rush Street Interactive, Inc.","BK4543":"AI","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0823421333.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) ACC","BK4150":"赌场与赌博","LU0823421416.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","BK4612":"AI芯片","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU1880398471.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1880398554.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) INC","BK4614":"Manus概念股","BK4588":"碎股","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4605":"半导体精选","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2458330243.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A-H1\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0823434740.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) INC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU1951200564.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A SGD","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1"},"translate_title":"Is this chip stock still strong in this round of rebound? 4 pictures reveal the secret","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"RSI":1},"content_text":"AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这两个关键技术位的重叠提升了股价达到这一目标的可能性，尤其是当它们也构成趋势性个股常见回撤位时。第二张周线图展示了几个关键的周均线：13 周、26 周和 40 周线。AMD 本周的大涨已将股价推升至这三条均线之上，为后续涨幅打开了空间。类似的技术形态曾出现在 2023 年初。当时，AMD 从 2022 年 10 月的低点已明显反弹，随后站上上述三条均线，标志着一轮强劲上涨行情的新阶段。支撑这一走势的还有 14 周相对强弱指数（RSI），目前也已重新升至中线（50）上方，这一信号在上次也曾预示着涨势的持续，最终推动 RSI 进入超买区域，显示动能持续增强。从更大周期来看，自 4 月低点以来，AMD 股价已反弹约 70%，涨势强劲。诚然，从短线角度来看，该股已处于超涨状态，未来涨幅可能放缓。但结合背景分析，本轮上涨恰好发生在经历了从 2024 年初高点近 70% 的深度回调之后。放大观察，自 2014 年以来，AMD 曾经历四轮深度、多月级别的修正，而每一次回调后的反弹都极为强劲，涨幅远超前期跌幅。这些反弹幅度从 +290% 到 +930% 不等，显示出 AMD 在长期维度下的强大修复能力。尽管本轮不一定会复制如此夸张的涨幅，但历史经验仍支持其有望逐步重返历史高点。最后，从相对强弱图来看，AMD 相较于 SMH半导体ETF 的走势同样展现出积极信号。过去几个月中，AMD 的相对表现持续优于半导体板块，扭转了年初严重超跌的局面。历史上，每当 AMD 从相对弱势转强，往往伴随其对 SMH 长达数月的持续跑赢。综合来看，AMD 当前的技术形态依旧健康：突破关键形态、重回重要均线之上、相对强势回升，并呈现出以往反弹周期的特征。虽然短期内可能出现整理，但从技术面来看，这轮中期上涨趋势仍有望延续。责任编辑：小讯","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[{"id":448624749703856,"gmtCreate":1750553775905,"gmtModify":1750553776853,"author":{"id":"4192259115439500","authorId":"4192259115439500","name":"股道自然","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"wearingBadges":[],"idStr":"4192259115439500","authorIdStr":"4192259115439500"},"htmlText":"周一暴跌给你看","listText":"周一暴跌给你看","text":"周一暴跌给你看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/448624749703856","repostId":2545310971,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2545310971","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1750465692,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2545310971?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-06-21 08:28","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2545310971","media":"金融界","summary":"AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。AMD 本周的大涨已将股价推升至这三条均线之上，为后续涨幅打开了空间。当时，AMD 从 2022 年 10 月的低点已明显反弹，随后站上上述三条均线，标志着一轮强劲上涨行情的新阶段。从更大周期来看，自 4 月低点以来，AMD 股价已反弹约 70%，涨势强劲。放大观察，自 2014 年以来，AMD 曾经历四轮深度、多月级别的修正，而每一次回调后的反弹都极为强劲，涨幅远超前期跌幅。","content":"<html><body><article><p>AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后<span>追高</span>，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。</p><p>首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这两个关键技术位的重叠提升了股价达到这一目标的可能性，尤其是当它们也构成趋势性个股常见回撤位时。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250621092856451v206hfoytrldf8k\"/><p>第二张周线图展示了几个关键的周<span>均线</span>：13 周、26 周和 40 周线。AMD 本周的大涨已将股价推升至这三条均线之上，为后续涨幅打开了空间。类似的技术形态曾出现在 2023 年初。当时，AMD 从 2022 年 10 月的低点已明显反弹，随后站上上述三条均线，标志着一轮强劲上涨行情的新阶段。</p><p>支撑这一走势的还有 14 周相对强弱指数（RSI），目前也已重新升至中线（50）上方，这一信号在上次也曾预示着涨势的持续，最终推动 RSI 进入超买区域，显示动能持续增强。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250621092908688v206aaihxm5t2zj\"/><p>从更大周期来看，自 4 月低点以来，AMD 股价已反弹约 70%，涨势强劲。诚然，从短线角度来看，该股已处于超涨状态，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600532\">未来</a>涨幅可能放缓。但结合背景分析，本轮上涨恰好发生在经历了从 2024 年初高点近 70% 的深度回调之后。</p><p>放大观察，自 2014 年以来，AMD 曾经历四轮深度、多月级别的修正，而每一次回调后的反弹都极为强劲，涨幅远超前期跌幅。这些反弹幅度从 +290% 到 +930% 不等，显示出 AMD 在长期维度下的强大修复能力。尽管本轮不一定会复制如此夸张的涨幅，但历史经验仍支持其有望逐步重返历史高点。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250621092913151v206vud13ewtr30\"/><p>最后，从相对强弱图来看，AMD 相较于 SMH半导体ETF 的走势同样展现出积极信号。过去几个月中，AMD 的相对表现持续优于半导体板块，扭转了年初严重超跌的局面。历史上，每当 AMD 从相对弱势转强，往往伴随其对 SMH 长达数月的持续跑赢。</p><img src=\"https://fid-75186.picgzc.qpic.cn/20250621092923771v2065vhezod9439\"/><p>综合来看，AMD 当前的技术形态依旧健康：突破关键形态、重回重要均线之上、相对强势回升，并呈现出以往反弹周期的特征。虽然短期内可能出现整理，但从技术面来看，这轮<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000996\">中期</a>上涨趋势仍有望延续。责任编辑：小讯</p></article></body></html>","source":"tencent","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n这支芯片股本轮反弹还有劲？4张图揭秘\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-06-21 08:28 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b><strong>金融界</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","AMD":"美国超微公司","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","LU1989764664.SGD":"CPR Invest - Global Disruptive Opportunities A2 Acc SGD-H","LU1923623000.USD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A USD","BK4512":"苹果概念","IE00BMPRXR70.SGD":"Neuberger Berman 5G Connectivity A Acc SGD-H","RSI":"Rush Street Interactive, Inc.","BK4543":"AI","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","IE00BMPRXN33.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN 5G CONNECTIVITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0081259029.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY FUND - TECH OPPORTUNITY \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4141":"半导体产品","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU2264538146.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","BK4529":"IDC概念","BK4575":"芯片概念","LU0889565833.HKD":"FRANKLIN TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0823421333.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) ACC","BK4150":"赌场与赌博","LU0823421416.USD":"BNP PARIBAS DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY \"C\" (USD) INC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU2098885051.SGD":"JPMorgan Funds - Multi-Manager Alternatives A (acc) SGD","BK4612":"AI芯片","GFS":"GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc.","LU1852331112.SGD":"Blackrock World Technology Fund A2 SGD-H","LU2458330169.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU1880398471.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1880398554.USD":"AMUNDI FUNDS GLOBAL EQUITY \"A2\" (USD) INC","BK4614":"Manus概念股","BK4588":"碎股","LU1064131342.USD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Global Absolute Alpha A Acc USD","LU0109392836.USD":"富兰克林科技股A","BK4605":"半导体精选","LU0823434583.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) ACC","IE0004445239.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON US FORTY \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU2458330243.SGD":"FRANKLIN SHARIAH TECHNOLOGY \"A-H1\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU1951198990.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund H-R/A SGD-H","LU1988902786.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS GLOBAL ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00B5949003.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A\" (HKD) ACC","LU0823434740.USD":"BNP PARIBAS US GROWTH \"C\" (USD) INC","LU0642271901.SGD":"Janus Henderson Horizon Global Technology Leaders A2 SGD-H","LU1951200564.SGD":"Natixis Thematics AI & Robotics Fund R/A SGD","LU1242518931.SGD":"Fullerton Lux Funds - Asia Absolute Alpha A Acc SGD","LU2360106780.USD":"BGF WORLD TECHNOLOGY \"A4\" (USD) INC","LU0082616367.USD":"摩根大通美国科技A（dist）","BK4573":"虚拟现实","IE0009356076.USD":"JANUS HENDERSON GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION \"A2\" (USD) ACC","LU1803068979.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Technology A (acc) SGD-H1"},"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN2025062109292595256357&s=b","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","article_id":"2545310971","content_text":"AMD 本周表现强劲，周一单日就上涨近 9%。虽然短线交易者通常不建议在如此剧烈上涨后追高，但从多个技术角度来看，当前的走势仍具有吸引力。首先，本轮反弹已明确突破一个“倒头肩形态”（inverse head-and-shoulders），这一形态在周线图上尤为清晰。图中标注的测量目标价位大约在 168 美元，几乎与 2024–2025 年这轮下跌的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 170 美元重合。这两个关键技术位的重叠提升了股价达到这一目标的可能性，尤其是当它们也构成趋势性个股常见回撤位时。第二张周线图展示了几个关键的周均线：13 周、26 周和 40 周线。AMD 本周的大涨已将股价推升至这三条均线之上，为后续涨幅打开了空间。类似的技术形态曾出现在 2023 年初。当时，AMD 从 2022 年 10 月的低点已明显反弹，随后站上上述三条均线，标志着一轮强劲上涨行情的新阶段。支撑这一走势的还有 14 周相对强弱指数（RSI），目前也已重新升至中线（50）上方，这一信号在上次也曾预示着涨势的持续，最终推动 RSI 进入超买区域，显示动能持续增强。从更大周期来看，自 4 月低点以来，AMD 股价已反弹约 70%，涨势强劲。诚然，从短线角度来看，该股已处于超涨状态，未来涨幅可能放缓。但结合背景分析，本轮上涨恰好发生在经历了从 2024 年初高点近 70% 的深度回调之后。放大观察，自 2014 年以来，AMD 曾经历四轮深度、多月级别的修正，而每一次回调后的反弹都极为强劲，涨幅远超前期跌幅。这些反弹幅度从 +290% 到 +930% 不等，显示出 AMD 在长期维度下的强大修复能力。尽管本轮不一定会复制如此夸张的涨幅，但历史经验仍支持其有望逐步重返历史高点。最后，从相对强弱图来看，AMD 相较于 SMH半导体ETF 的走势同样展现出积极信号。过去几个月中，AMD 的相对表现持续优于半导体板块，扭转了年初严重超跌的局面。历史上，每当 AMD 从相对弱势转强，往往伴随其对 SMH 长达数月的持续跑赢。综合来看，AMD 当前的技术形态依旧健康：突破关键形态、重回重要均线之上、相对强势回升，并呈现出以往反弹周期的特征。虽然短期内可能出现整理，但从技术面来看，这轮中期上涨趋势仍有望延续。责任编辑：小讯","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"GFS":0.9,"RSI":1}},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"}],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":1,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.3","shortVersion":"4.42.3","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2545310971","isCrawlerRequest":true}