阿波罗首席经济学家：若关税保持不变，美国今年衰退概率高达90%

格隆汇2025-04-22

格隆汇4月22日｜阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家斯托斯滕·斯洛克（Torsten Slok）认为，如果特朗普关税政策保持不变，美国今年几乎肯定会陷入衰退。斯洛克周一接受采访时表示：“这一切都取决于关税保持在目前的水平，如果关税保持在目前的水平，我们绝对会在2025年陷入衰退。”斯洛克说，如果本月早些时候实施的高关税继续生效，美国经济产出连续两个季度萎缩的概率将高达90%，GDP将下降4个百分点。...

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