【观点】光大期货：铜价见顶迹象，布局空单谨慎操作

同花顺期货通2025-03-07

隔夜LME铜上涨0.99%至9689美元/吨；SHFE铜主力上涨1.4%至79200元/吨；国内现货进口窗口持续关闭。宏观方面，海外方面，美联储理事沃勒表示，不会支持在3月份降息，但认为今年有可能降息两次，甚至三次，并关注关税政策会带来什么样的进一步影响。欧洲央行昨晚如期降息25个基点，将存款机制利率从2.75%下调至2.5%，为自去年6月以来第六次降息，但暗示随着通胀和经济的不稳定性，降息周期...

网页链接

免责声明：本文观点仅代表作者个人观点，不构成本平台的投资建议，本平台不对文章信息准确性、完整性和及时性做出任何保证，亦不对因使用或信赖文章信息引发的任何损失承担责任。

精彩评论

我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"isChannel":false,"data":{"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2517480036?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","thumbnail":"","is_english":false,"pubTime":"2025-03-07 09:24","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/9a95c1376e76363c1401fee7d3717173","id":"2517480036","market":"sh","top_or_hot":-1,"title":"【观点】光大期货：铜价见顶迹象，布局空单谨慎操作","media":"同花顺期货通","content":"<div>\n<p>隔夜LME铜上涨0.99%至9689美元/吨；SHFE铜主力上涨1.4%至79200元/吨；国内现货进口窗口持续关闭。宏观方面，海外方面，美联储理事沃勒表示，不会支持在3月份降息，但认为今年有可能降息两次，甚至三次，并关注关税政策会带来什么样的进一步影响。欧洲央行昨晚如期降息25个基点，将存款机制利率从2.75%下调至2.5%，为自去年6月以来第六次降息，但暗示随着通胀和经济的不稳定性，降息周期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250307092821a26335d3&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"tencent","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>【观点】光大期货：铜价见顶迹象，布局空单谨慎操作</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n【观点】光大期货：铜价见顶迹象，布局空单谨慎操作\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-03-07 09:24 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250307092821a26335d3&s=b><strong>同花顺期货通</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>隔夜LME铜上涨0.99%至9689美元/吨；SHFE铜主力上涨1.4%至79200元/吨；国内现货进口窗口持续关闭。宏观方面，海外方面，美联储理事沃勒表示，不会支持在3月份降息，但认为今年有可能降息两次，甚至三次，并关注关税政策会带来什么样的进一步影响。欧洲央行昨晚如期降息25个基点，将存款机制利率从2.75%下调至2.5%，为自去年6月以来第六次降息，但暗示随着通胀和经济的不稳定性，降息周期...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250307092821a26335d3&s=b\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK0183","symbol_name":"MSCI概念","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250307092821a26335d3&s=b","article_id":"2517480036","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tencent","url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250307092821a26335d3&s=b","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}#news_title{font-weight:bold;#titleStyle#;}#news_description span{font-size:12px;#descriptionStyle#;}.footer-note{#statement#}","selectors":".mod-LoadTzbdNews, body","filters":".relate-stock, .hot-list, .recom-box, .wx-sou","directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2517480036","pubTimestamp":1741310683,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"tencent","name":"腾讯"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"美国总统特朗普签署美墨加协定执行推迟至4月2日，但未得到加拿大的认同。库存方面，LME库存下降975吨至259175吨；Comex库存下降341.1维持83877.34吨；SHFE铜仓单下降1634吨至159141吨；BC铜增加194吨至18698吨。需求方面，铜线缆建筑及电网需求恢复偏缓慢，铜持续高价也影响了下游采购积极性。昨晚欧央行降息、美政府推迟对加墨加征关税，市场预期特朗普关税政策初阶段表现不利，对大宗压制减弱；国内则在稳增长及旺季预期下对后市需求持乐观预期。","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"zh","relate_stocks":{"600219":"南山铝业","600338":"西藏珠峰","600361":"创新新材","600362":"江西铜业","600490":"鹏欣资源","600497":"驰宏锌锗","600531":"豫光金铅","600595":"中孚实业","600615":"鑫源智造","600768":"宁波富邦","600888":"新疆众和","600961":"株冶集团","601020":"华钰矿业","601168":"西部矿业","601212":"白银有色","601388":"怡球资源","601600":"中国铝业","601609":"金田股份","601677":"明泰铝业","601702":"华峰铝业","601899":"紫金矿业","603115":"海星股份","603132":"金徽股份","603527":"众源新材","603876":"鼎胜新材","603937":"丽岛新材","603979":"金诚信","603993":"洛阳钼业","605208":"永茂泰","BK0183":"MSCI概念","BK0188":"融资融券","SGXZ81163826.USD":"UNITED CHINA A-SHARES INNOVATION \"A\" (USD) ACC","BK0012":"证金概念","SGXZ49509284.SGD":"United China A Shares Innovation A Acc SGD","BK0182":"小金属","BK0028":"国家队","BK0242":"有色金属","BK0196":"行业龙头","BK0056":"扶贫"},"translate_title":"[Viewpoint] Everbright Futures: Copper prices show signs of peaking, and operate with caution when laying out empty orders","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"600219":0.9,"600338":0.9,"600361":0.9,"600362":0.9,"600490":0.9,"600497":0.9,"600531":0.9,"600595":0.9,"600615":0.9,"600768":0.9,"600888":0.9,"600961":0.9,"601020":0.9,"601168":0.9,"601212":0.9,"601388":0.9,"601600":0.9,"601609":0.9,"601677":0.9,"601702":0.9,"601899":0.9,"603115":0.9,"603132":0.9,"603527":0.9,"603876":0.9,"603937":0.9,"603979":0.9,"603993":0.9,"605208":0.9},"content_text":"隔夜LME铜上涨0.99%至9689美元/吨；SHFE铜主力上涨1.4%至79200元/吨；国内现货进口窗口持续关闭。宏观方面，海外方面，美联储理事沃勒表示，不会支持在3月份降息，但认为今年有可能降息两次，甚至三次，并关注关税政策会带来什么样的进一步影响。欧洲央行昨晚如期降息25个基点，将存款机制利率从2.75%下调至2.5%，为自去年6月以来第六次降息，但暗示随着通胀和经济的不稳定性，降息周期接近尾声。美国总统特朗普签署美墨加协定执行推迟至4月2日，但未得到加拿大的认同。国内方面，两会报告指出2025年GDP增长目标5%左右，CPI涨幅2%左右，赤字率4%左右，适时降准降息，更大力度促进楼市股市健康发展。库存方面，LME库存下降975吨至259175吨；Comex库存下降341.1维持83877.34吨；SHFE铜仓单下降1634吨至159141吨；BC铜增加194吨至18698吨。需求方面，铜线缆建筑及电网需求恢复偏缓慢，铜持续高价也影响了下游采购积极性。昨晚欧央行降息、美政府推迟对加墨加征关税，市场预期特朗普关税政策初阶段表现不利，对大宗压制减弱；国内则在稳增长及旺季预期下对后市需求持乐观预期。笔者认为政策性预期仍强于基本面的恢复，但政策预期也会反复，因此对待本轮上行持续性要谨慎，围绕80000~82000元/吨的区间可尝试布局空单，盘面站稳该区间应及时止损。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.43.1","shortVersion":"4.43.1","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2517480036","isCrawlerRequest":true}