苹果或进入“熊市”！分析师：基本面、技术面均面临挑战

智通财经2025-01-23

1月23日，苹果公司股票可能正步入“熊市”。投资者需要留意几个关键技术位，以判断近期的抛售是否会进一步恶化。周三，苹果股价在盘中下跌后反弹，收涨0.53%，报223.83美元，而标普500指数上涨0.61%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.30%。尽管如此，苹果股价较去年12月26日创下的52周盘中高点260.10美元已下跌约15%。这一跌幅使苹果市值下降至约3.3万亿美元，落后于英伟达的3.6万亿美元...

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href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1242249.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>1月23日，苹果公司股票可能正步入“熊市”。投资者需要留意几个关键技术位，以判断近期的抛售是否会进一步恶化。周三，苹果股价在盘中下跌后反弹，收涨0.53%，报223.83美元，而标普500指数上涨0.61%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.30%。尽管如此，苹果股价较去年12月26日创下的52周盘中高点260.10美元已下跌约15%。这一跌幅使苹果市值下降至约3.3万亿美元，落后于英伟达的3.6万亿美元...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1242249.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU1582986359.USD","symbol_name":"M&G (LUX) INCOME ALLOCATION \"A-H\" (USDHDG) 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INC"},"translate_title":"Apple may enter a \"bear market\"! Analyst: Fundamentals and Technical Aspects Both Face Challenges","themeId":"422c869afb93c5636d874f2d37f8dc88","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c06c1e731f81396acbb1ac0108302c5d","symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":1},"content_text":"1月23日，苹果公司股票可能正步入“熊市”。投资者需要留意几个关键技术位，以判断近期的抛售是否会进一步恶化。周三，苹果股价在盘中下跌后反弹，收涨0.53%，报223.83美元，而标普500指数上涨0.61%，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.30%。尽管如此，苹果股价较去年12月26日创下的52周盘中高点260.10美元已下跌约15%。这一跌幅使苹果市值下降至约3.3万亿美元，落后于英伟达的3.6万亿美元。微软目前市值与苹果持平，均为约3.3万亿美元。ChartSmarter创始人兼市场技术分析师Douglas Busch在周三的一份报告中所说：“苹果正感受到背后压力。”Busch形容苹果股价目前“看起来很糟糕”，指出其涨幅已完全回吐了总统选举后的反弹，而同期标普500指数仍上涨约5%，科技板块ETF（XLK.US）上涨约6%。Fairlead Strategies创始人兼市场技术分析师Katie Stockton在报告中表示，苹果股价接近200日移动平均线（约217美元），一旦跌破这一水平，下一个技术支撑位可能在208美元左右。这意味着，如果跌至该水平，苹果股价将较近期高点下跌约20%，进入技术意义上的“熊市”。技术分析中，“支撑位”是指在过去投资者常在该价位买入股票的水平，相对的“阻力位”则是投资者倾向于获利了结的价位。技术分析师并非基于公司基本面进行判断，而是通过观察图表模式分析市场情绪，寻找突破阻力或跌破支撑的信号。从基本面来看，苹果面临多重挑战。首先，股票估值过高。去年12月，苹果市盈率约为未来12个月预期收益的34倍，而一年前约为29倍。近期股价下跌将市盈率拉回至29倍左右，但仍高于标普500指数的约22倍。此外，投资者对2025年的前景感到担忧。摩根大通分析师Samik Chatterjee指出，苹果在中国市场的份额有所下降，其AI产品未能引发广泛关注，而强势美元也对其海外业务造成压力。Chatterjee维持苹果“买入”评级，但已在1月初将目标价下调5美元至260美元。目前，华尔街分析师对苹果仍持相对乐观态度，约63%的分析师给予“买入”评级，远高于标普500成分股的平均55%。苹果的平均目标价为248美元。","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; +claudebot@anthropic.com)","isDev":false,"isTTM":false,"tenantId":"TBCN","deviceId":"web-server-community-laohu8-v3","version":"4.42.0","shortVersion":"4.42.0","platform":"web","vendor":"web","appName":"laohu8","isIOS":false,"isAndroid":false,"isTiger":false,"isTHS":false,"isWeiXin":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"isWeiBo":false,"isQQ":false,"isBaiduSwan":false,"isBaiduBox":false,"isDingTalk":false,"isToutiao":false,"isOnePlus":false,"isHuaWei":false,"isXiaomi":false,"isXiaomiWebView":false,"isOppo":false,"isVivo":false,"isSamsung":false,"isMobile":false},"href":"/m/news/2505702785","isCrawlerRequest":true}