苹果开始发力AI芯片了，大摩认为台积电最受益

华尔街见闻03-26

摩根士丹利上调台积电的目标价至860元新台币，较当前股价高出10%，预计台积电将在长期内跑赢整个半导体市场。摩根士丹利对苹果公司的边缘人工智能（Edge AI）充满期待，上周发布的报告预测，该计划会重新点燃iPhone的销售增长，帮助苹果在日益激烈的AI竞赛中后来居上。与此同时，大摩Charlie Chan分析师团队认为，Edge AI计划最大的外部受益者可能是台积电。该团队在上周公布的报告中表示...

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href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3711306><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>摩根士丹利上调台积电的目标价至860元新台币，较当前股价高出10%，预计台积电将在长期内跑赢整个半导体市场。摩根士丹利对苹果公司的边缘人工智能（Edge AI）充满期待，上周发布的报告预测，该计划会重新点燃iPhone的销售增长，帮助苹果在日益激烈的AI竞赛中后来居上。与此同时，大摩Charlie Chan分析师团队认为，Edge AI计划最大的外部受益者可能是台积电。该团队在上周公布的报告中表示...</p>\n\n<a 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Ultra需求的显著增加将给台积电带来低个位数的收入增长，这有望抵消由于苹果iPhone需求疲软而可能产生的3nm晶圆订单减少。台积电晶圆明年涨价？鉴于云AI领域对高性能芯片的需求日增，大摩认为2025年台积电晶圆涨价的可能性更大了。大摩报告指出，根据供应链检查，台积电正与其主要客户商谈，计划于2025年将晶圆价格提高10%。尽管我们认为，最终的涨价幅度接近5%，但这种涨价的趋势已经变得更加明显。同时，鉴于苹果占据了台积电20%至25%的收入，大摩小幅上调了对台积电2025年和2026年的收入预期，幅度在1%-2%之间。即从2024年到2026年，台积电的每股收益（EPS）预计将从32.34新台币增长至55.84新台币。根据台积电2025年的EPS，大摩认为，台积电当前16倍的市盈率并不高，股价极具有吸引力。大摩预计，未来台积电股价将重估至18倍的2025年预期EPS。因此，我们将台积电的目标价格提升至行业最高的860元新台币，并再次强调，台积电是我们覆盖领域内的首选股票。大摩认为，从长期角度看台积电将在人工智能半导体行业中脱颖而出。不管增长动力来源于GPU还是ASIC，云AI芯片还是Edge AI芯片，很可能都将依赖台积电处于领先地位的制造工艺。因此，与全球半导体供应链中的其他股票相比，台积电在人工智能领域的增长前景显得更为明确。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":null,"is_publish_highlight":null,"is_publish_live":null,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false},"APP":{"userAgent":"Mozilla/5.0 AppleWebKit/537.36 (KHTML, like Gecko; compatible; ClaudeBot/1.0; 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