BC电池最受益公司，市占率全球第一，一个被忽略的光伏小而美！

小浪侃财01-25

成长赛道，终于迎来回升。光伏长达两年的去库存周期基本结束。硅料供过于求的现象开始缓解，P型硅料最先涨价，逐渐向光伏胶膜、边框、焊带、银浆等辅材传导。回暖信号会最先从产业链上游开始传递，所以前段时间的欧晶科技、石英股份、帝科股份表现都不错。市场上普遍认为光伏行业产能过剩，却忽略了年年超预期增加的光伏装机量。淘汰掉落后产能、完成行业洗牌之后，成功活下来的光伏公司会开启新一轮增长。除了...

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href=https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240125A07J6L00><strong>小浪侃财</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>成长赛道，终于迎来回升。\n光伏长达两年的去库存周期基本结束。\n硅料供过于求的现象开始缓解，P型硅料最先涨价，逐渐向光伏胶膜、边框、焊带、银浆等辅材传导。\n回暖信号会最先从产业链上游开始传递\n，所以前段时间的欧晶科技、石英股份、帝科股份表现都不错。\n市场上普遍认为光伏行业产能过剩，却忽略了年年超预期增加的光伏装机量。\n淘汰掉落后产能、完成行业洗牌之后，成功活下来的光伏公司会开启新一轮增长。除了...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240125A07J6L00\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4190","symbol_name":"消闲用品","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240125A07J6L00","article_id":"2406735815","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://inews.gtimg.com/om_ls/OX9eRcDhRZpQIVeaIUVLaMWmeH4xhVhgzuC33Vq-WOeNsAA_294195/0"],"rights":{"source":"tencent_tech","url":"https://new.qq.com/rain/a/20240125A07J6L00","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}.title{#titleStyle#}a{#lv2TextColor#}.author, .pubtime{#sourceStyle#; display: inline-block;} 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beautiful!","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BC":1},"content_text":"成长赛道，终于迎来回升。\n光伏长达两年的去库存周期基本结束。\n硅料供过于求的现象开始缓解，P型硅料最先涨价，逐渐向光伏胶膜、边框、焊带、银浆等辅材传导。\n回暖信号会最先从产业链上游开始传递\n，所以前段时间的欧晶科技、石英股份、帝科股份表现都不错。\n市场上普遍认为光伏行业产能过剩，却忽略了年年超预期增加的光伏装机量。\n淘汰掉落后产能、完成行业洗牌之后，成功活下来的光伏公司会开启新一轮增长。除了隆基绿能、晶澳科技等组件大厂，光伏焊带这种行业集中度不高的地方，公司业绩弹性会更高。\n那么，光伏焊带在产业链中位置如何呢？\n光伏焊带由基材和表面涂层构成，位于\n产业链中游\n。\n多用在光伏电池片上，具备导电和聚电的作用，以提升光伏组件的输出电压和功率。\n光伏焊带连接后的光伏电\n池片，通过EVA胶膜、光伏玻璃、背膜、边框等材料封装后，形成光伏组件，可以用来建设光伏电站。\n\n\n\n（图片来源：宇邦新材招股书）\n此外，优质的光伏焊带可以增大传输效率、降低组件成本。\n所以，光伏焊带是重要的光伏辅材之一。\n业内规模较大的公司有宇邦新材、同享科技、威腾电气三家，其中宇邦新材的\n市占率\n17%\n，全球第一。\n公司主营光伏焊带17年，产\n品主要有\n互连焊带、汇流焊带\n。\n互连焊带是将光伏电池片的正负电极连接，形成串联电流；汇流焊带是将电池片跟接线盒连在一起，进行电流传输。\n互连焊带是公司最主要的营收来源，2022年收入15.38亿元，营收占比76.49%。\n\n\n\n再看一下，宇邦新材的业绩情况。\n由于下游光伏行业需求旺盛。2018-2022年，公司营业收入从5.5亿增长至20.1亿，净利润从0.33亿增长至1亿元，\n年复合增长率分别为\n38%\n、\n32%\n，成长速度很快。\n2023前三季度，公司实现营收20.46亿元，同比增长41.93%；实现净利润1.18亿元，同比增加55.71%。\n\n\n\n同为光伏焊带企业，不论从毛利率还是净利率来看，宇邦新材的盈利能力要常年优于同享科技。\n一是\n高端产品销售占比大\n，溢价高\n的MBB焊带销售较多。二是公司\n具备\n规模优势\n，拉低了平均生产成本。\n\n\n\n2020-2023上半年，公司期间费用率从8%降至5.04%。制造业的期间费用率本就不高，这种情况下公司还能将其往下压三个百分点，费用\n管控做得非常好。\n\n\n\n那么，宇邦新材未来有什么看点呢？\n受益于行业回暖与技术升级，公司具备明确的量价齐升逻辑。\n1.\n光伏新增装机量超预期\n光伏装机量持续上升，辅材的消耗量也会上升。\n预计未来几年，光伏新增装机还会保持高速增长，2025年将达到560GW。目前，1GW组件对应430吨焊带消耗需求。\n2022-2025年，全球光伏焊带出货规模从11.9万吨增至26.2万吨；光伏焊带市场规模，\n相应从\n98.0\n亿元增至\n208.6\n亿元\n。\n目前焊带市场CR2仅为27%，公司市场集中度有望进一步提升。宇邦新材作为业内龙头\n，\n产品仍有放量空间\n。\n此外，下游的组件厂\n商对辅材价格并不敏感，一般选定供给商后也不会随便更换。\n公司的客户主要有隆基绿能、天合光能、晶科能源、晶澳科技、阿特斯等。2020年前五大客户营收占比九成以上，近年减少到60%左右，客户结构过于集中的风险也有所下降。\n2、\n光伏电池技术升级，带动公司产品放量\nN型电池替代P型电池，是趋势所向。\n电池路线会从以PERC为主的P型电池，向XBC、HJT、TopCon等N型电池转变。因为N型电池\n的\n理论转化极限在\n28%\n以上\n，发电成本更低，而\nPERC\n电池的理论转化极\n限才24.5%，\n2030年N型电池渗透率将达到30%。随着量产技术成熟，N型取代P型电池是时间问题。这也促进了光伏焊带生产技术提升\n，从\n常规焊带向\nMBB\n、\nSMBB\n、无主栅焊带\n发展。\n\n\n\n此外，N型替代还会\n带动光伏焊带，朝\n直径更细、\n数量更多\n的方向发展。\n因为N型电池的银浆用量更多，银浆在电池片非硅成本里占比最大。焊带更细能减少银浆使用量，降低成本。增加主栅数量可缩短主栅之间的细栅长度，有效\n降低细栅电阻，增加传输效率，能更好地\n降本增效。\n此外，高价值量产品占比增加，带动公司平均销售价格上升。\n2021年MBB焊带、异形焊带的价格分别为82.34元/公斤、99.27元/公斤，要显著高于普通的低电阻焊带。\n（图片来源：公司招股书）\n截至2021年，公司的MBB产品出货占比已达到71.7%。高价值量产品占比增加，带动公司销售均价上升。\n公司还研发了一系列适用于N型电池的光伏焊带，并最先落地量产。\n如适配\nTOPCon\n的\nSMBB\n焊带、适配\nHJT\n的低温焊带、适配\nBC\n电池的异形焊带。\n而\nBC\n电池，是\nN\n型电池的发展趋势，发电性能也最优异。\n目前公司适用于BC电池的异形焊带、黑色及反光汇流带正加紧向头部组件厂出货。\nBC电池一直碍于生产成本高、技术路径难没有大规模量产。随着技术突破，BC电池开始放量，公司相关营收会持续上升。\n\n\n\n最后，总结一下。宇邦新材是光伏焊带龙头，产品和技术业内领先，并且具备明确的量价齐升逻辑。伴随光伏赛道回暖，公司业绩持续放量的确定性很强。\n.data_color_scheme_dark{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: 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