高盛:暂不对全球经济预测做重大调整,列出四种可能情景

市场资讯2021-11-29

高盛集团经济学家们在一份最新报告中列出了新型变异病毒“奥密克戎”对全球经济增长潜在影响的四种情景,并补充说,鉴于目前仍不清楚哪一种可能会出现,对全球经济预测做任何重大调整还为时过早。1. 下行情景:奥密克戎的传播速度比德尔塔更快。这将导致第一季度全球经济环比年率增长放缓至2%,比高盛目前的预测低约2.5个百分点。2022年全球经济仍将增长4.2%,比目前的预测低0.4个百分点,而通胀前景“模棱两可...

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